Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7d97f23fbf8c6db3057aed1b3ccc147db4c8f21c87c9b9199d5569fc73a4efe

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Auroraof Aurora, South America Rejects
Resolved: Apr 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $91,700
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $109,700

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,700 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3a09…f9f7backed Aurora	79c	7,757$6,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,632.22	569	55.5%316 W · 253 L	+22.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora	74c	6,546$4,812 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,733.65	1,210	57.1%691 W · 519 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Aurora	80c	5,366$4,289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,077.12	345	44.3%153 W · 192 L	-15.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed South America Rejects	18c	4,433$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$797.99	271	53.5%145 W · 126 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed South America Rejects	24c	4,170$1,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,019.06	894	40.3%360 W · 534 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed South America Rejects	21c	4,000$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840	696	44.5%310 W · 386 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed South America Rejects	16c	2,818$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.93	470	46.6%219 W · 251 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed South America Rejects	31c	2,639$814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$813.74	433	44.8%194 W · 239 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Aurora	80c	2,488$1,990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$497.51	413	51.8%214 W · 199 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked South America Rejects	12c	2,428$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.78	1,275	33.5%427 W · 848 L	-15.6wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed South America Rejects	20c	2,427$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.81	517	51.3%265 W · 252 L	+21.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed South America Rejects	20c	2,349$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.87	1,036	47.2%489 W · 547 L	+15.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora	71c	2,267$1,613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$654.13	1,272	45%572 W · 700 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked South America Rejects	21c	2,264$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.52	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed South America Rejects	13c	1,995$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.18	259	35.5%92 W · 167 L	-13.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked South America Rejects	20c	1,982$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.41	1,821	45%820 W · 1,001 L	+33.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Aurora	80c	1,976$1,581 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395.2	494	55.1%272 W · 222 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked South America Rejects	20c	1,815$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.96	1,155	47.8%552 W · 603 L	+29.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03a2…7e3ebacked South America Rejects	26c	1,566$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.04	122	48.4%59 W · 63 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked South America Rejects	18c	1,392$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.28	897	49.6%445 W · 452 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked South America Rejects	29c	1,290$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.51	670	43.3%290 W · 380 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked South America Rejects	39c	1,289$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.62	606	46.9%284 W · 322 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked South America Rejects	40c	1,198$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.28	998	44.4%443 W · 555 L	+21.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed South America Rejects	25c	1,074$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.35	388	55.2%214 W · 174 L	+29.8wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora	51c	1,050$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.81	1,186	43.2%512 W · 674 L	+42.2wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked South America Rejects	19c	1,001$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.28	698	35.2%246 W · 452 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed Aurora	80c	1,000$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	43	65.1%28 W · 15 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked South America Rejects	19c	997.8$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.57	365	47.7%174 W · 191 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed South America Rejects	26c	783.35$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.23	779	41.1%320 W · 459 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed South America Rejects	18c	760$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.2	885	39.7%351 W · 534 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1b…f0f9backed South America Rejects	25c	759.38$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.79	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	39cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed South America Rejects	3c	699.95$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	613	2.1%13 W · 600 L	-23.4wins	-0.04per pick	6cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2487…0ad0backed South America Rejects	27c	696.94$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.29	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked South America Rejects	21c	628.6$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.09	301	55.5%167 W · 134 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora	72c	614.45$443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.98	799	59.4%475 W · 324 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Aurora	74c	600$444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156	91	53.8%49 W · 42 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed South America Rejects	22c	576.86$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.76	565	48%271 W · 294 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed South America Rejects	19c	523.53$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.47	336	44%148 W · 188 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed South America Rejects	24c	500$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	1,248	44.4%554 W · 694 L	+17.0wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Aurora	52c	500$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	450	46.7%210 W · 240 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed South America Rejects	48c	486.22$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.47	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	-7.9wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Aurora	74c	473.99$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.69	551	47.5%262 W · 289 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked South America Rejects	19c	442.5$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.08	953	42.2%402 W · 551 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed South America Rejects	29c	430.23$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.34	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed South America Rejects	21c	374.95$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.69	714	54.5%389 W · 325 L	+55.6wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Aurora	66c	345.12$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.44	721	54%389 W · 332 L	-8.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked South America Rejects	24c	322.11$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.31	269	56.1%151 W · 118 L	+8.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked South America Rejects	20c	317.81$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.95	430	49.1%211 W · 219 L	+15.8wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed South America Rejects	24c	317.52$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.21	568	52.5%298 W · 270 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked South America Rejects	20c	317.02$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.4	127	40.9%52 W · 75 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Aurora	68c	302.65$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.63	962	45.5%438 W · 524 L	+22.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8b8…61dcbacked Aurora	75c	300$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	180	65.6%118 W · 62 L	+9.4wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed South America Rejects	33c	287.65$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	544	45.8%249 W · 295 L	-10.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Aurora	80c	285$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	367	59.1%217 W · 150 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9031…554bbacked South America Rejects	24c	256.73$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.04	102	62.7%64 W · 38 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda47…c2e9backed South America Rejects	43c	253.35$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.33	118	58.5%69 W · 49 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked South America Rejects	25c	229.2$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.3	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	34cpaid	-71.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked South America Rejects	43c	221.95$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.44	138	50%69 W · 69 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f1…c252backed Aurora	70c	210.36$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.41	49	49%24 W · 25 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked South America Rejects	32c	201.71$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.03	1,280	45%576 W · 704 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Aurora	64c	201.45$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.68	1,797	55.8%1,003 W · 794 L	+37.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Aurora	63c	200$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	925	61.2%566 W · 359 L	+53.8wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa042…5539backed South America Rejects	8c	199.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	174	54%94 W · 80 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked South America Rejects	22c	193.98$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.66	372	23.1%86 W · 286 L	-38.2wins	-0.10per pick	33cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed South America Rejects	9c	187.05$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.83	686	49.7%341 W · 345 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed South America Rejects	30c	183.62$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.55	1,260	49.7%626 W · 634 L	+21.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Aurora	78c	172.18$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.85	101	52.5%53 W · 48 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a9…263cbacked South America Rejects	35c	154.16$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.64	241	37.3%90 W · 151 L	+9.7wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed South America Rejects	13c	147.21$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	1,120	36.1%404 W · 716 L	-39.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked South America Rejects	22c	147.08$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.08	350	32.3%113 W · 237 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked South America Rejects	34c	136$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.31	690	33.3%230 W · 460 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed South America Rejects	25c	123.23$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.81	576	54.5%314 W · 262 L	+29.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde58…b901backed South America Rejects	24c	114.98$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.81	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc665…48d9backed South America Rejects	9c	114.54$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed South America Rejects	20c	110.14$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.08	220	33.6%74 W · 146 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2555…5254backed South America Rejects	20c	109.15$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.46	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	+5.4wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x984b…88fbbacked South America Rejects	47c	106.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.95	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Aurora	67c	105.65$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.86	920	56.4%519 W · 401 L	+78.3wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed South America Rejects	15c	105.01$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.33	1,013	45.5%461 W · 552 L	-46.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed South America Rejects	28c	103.02$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.7	515	50.9%262 W · 253 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed South America Rejects	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	726	37.5%272 W · 454 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked South America Rejects	15c	97.37$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.24	641	23.4%150 W · 491 L	-18.6wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed South America Rejects	19c	96.2$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.71	256	48%123 W · 133 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Aurora	72c	92.68$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.95	204	48%98 W · 106 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked South America Rejects	34c	84$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.78	1,521	37.9%576 W · 945 L	-57.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked South America Rejects	27c	83.85$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.27	958	41.1%394 W · 564 L	+32.7wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed Aurora	77c	80.3$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.14	555	61.8%343 W · 212 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed South America Rejects	19c	75.11$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.27	340	45.9%156 W · 184 L	-8.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed South America Rejects	45c	75$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.9	360	44.2%159 W · 201 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed South America Rejects	26c	73.51$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.11	864	51.7%447 W · 417 L	+20.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed South America Rejects	36c	69.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.1	793	43.6%346 W · 447 L	+38.4wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Aurora	52c	67.18$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.01	252	53.2%134 W · 118 L	+20.3wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed South America Rejects	21c	66.95$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.78	149	55.7%83 W · 66 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Aurora	74c	66.49$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.27	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc03d…07e1backed South America Rejects	30c	65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…8e7ebacked Aurora	60c	60.76$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.3	338	54.1%183 W · 155 L	+11.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Aurora	64c	51.86$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.61	366	54.1%198 W · 168 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7a…6c9abacked South America Rejects	24c	49.28$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.83	176	44.9%79 W · 97 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x11ea…594fbacked South America Rejects	38c	48.91$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	159	42.8%68 W · 91 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed South America Rejects	80c	46.44$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.15	500	32.2%161 W · 339 L	-47.1wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageAurora won
Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects - Game 2 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs South America Rejects (+1.5)South America Rejects won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event