Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd0951fef7b5428b7a0f3fb494aee789d0ff149c95ff7a02a8d05e39fb1fa0fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $333,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $357,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $333,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked PARIVISION | 70c | 104,858$73,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,689.3 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 29c | 40,269$11,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,721.47 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 72c | 34,245$24,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,668.39 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…204cbacked MOUZ | 29c | 22,222$6,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,444.38 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed MOUZ | 30c | 19,928$5,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,908.28 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked MOUZ | 28c | 18,857$5,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,238.14 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed PARIVISION | 70c | 14,974$10,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,492.08 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed MOUZ | 29c | 12,821$3,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,745.69 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3afc…4ae6backed MOUZ | 0c | 12,023$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed MOUZ | 30c | 12,015$3,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650.88 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed PARIVISION | 70c | 12,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed PARIVISION | 70c | 7,733$5,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.83 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed MOUZ | 33c | 7,000$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed PARIVISION | 70c | 6,929$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.69 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 30c | 6,608$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.38 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked MOUZ | 30c | 6,387$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 71c | 6,380$4,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.08 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…2f4abacked MOUZ | 12c | 5,384$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.96 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 25c | 5,274$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.63 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 29c | 5,125$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.63 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked MOUZ | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 29c | 4,725$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.8 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed PARIVISION | 71c | 4,528$3,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.43 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ | 27c | 4,459$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.23 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03d…07e1backed MOUZ | 2c | 4,378$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fac…1feebacked PARIVISION | 72c | 4,138$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.54 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed PARIVISION | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed PARIVISION | 71c | 3,981$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.49 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed PARIVISION | 70c | 3,437$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.1 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed PARIVISION | 70c | 3,362$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.91 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ | 29c | 3,243$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.17 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed MOUZ | 30c | 3,213$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.04 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed MOUZ | 22c | 3,058$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.4 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked MOUZ | 30c | 3,040$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed MOUZ | 30c | 2,791$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.29 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed MOUZ | 29c | 2,605$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.52 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ | 30c | 2,505$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.47 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 2,498$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.84 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked MOUZ | 29c | 2,387$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.2 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed MOUZ | 21c | 2,300$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MOUZ | 29c | 2,267$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.41 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed MOUZ | 16c | 2,264$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.23 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed MOUZ | 30c | 2,099$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.87 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ | 26c | 2,084$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.99 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed MOUZ | 30c | 2,060$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.95 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed PARIVISION | 71c | 1,685$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.57 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed MOUZ | 30c | 1,677$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.95 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked MOUZ | 30c | 1,619$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.11 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed MOUZ | 29c | 1,596$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 29c | 1,578$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.29 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed MOUZ | 18c | 1,550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked MOUZ | 30c | 1,542$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.27 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed MOUZ | 16c | 1,495$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.41 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 1,493$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.2 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 1,457$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.48 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked MOUZ | 8c | 1,433$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.13 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed PARIVISION | 71c | 1,384$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.34 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed MOUZ | 30c | 1,370$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.98 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked MOUZ | 5c | 1,300$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed MOUZ | 29c | 1,271$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.48 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a5…caa6backed MOUZ | 31c | 1,237$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.44 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked MOUZ | 30c | 1,220$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.72 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 1,214$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.24 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed PARIVISION | 70c | 1,212$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.48 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…a68abacked PARIVISION | 70c | 1,100$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed PARIVISION | 77c | 1,073$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.54 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed MOUZ | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked MOUZ | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed PARIVISION | 70c | 989.86$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.96 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed PARIVISION | 70c | 982$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.6 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked MOUZ | 30c | 964.29$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.32 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…0ad0backed MOUZ | 30c | 958$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.4 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed MOUZ | 29c | 895.9$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.81 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d5…dc17backed MOUZ | 3c | 882.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 73 | 76.7%56 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked MOUZ | 28c | 841.66$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.72 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ | 30c | 808.82$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.79 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed MOUZ | 14c | 770.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed MOUZ | 28c | 742.33$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.83 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed MOUZ | 2c | 699.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed MOUZ | 30c | 695.67$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.81 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 689.36$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.91 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked MOUZ | 26c | 623$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed PARIVISION | 67c | 610.63$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.51 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ | 29c | 595.85$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.71 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed PARIVISION | 71c | 542.2$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.24 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb05…ed70backed PARIVISION | 71c | 510.44$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.03 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…e80cbacked MOUZ | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed PARIVISION | 80c | 495.32$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed MOUZ | 30c | 479$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.7 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked MOUZ | 6c | 478.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked MOUZ | 27c | 388.22$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.82 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 28c | 375.3$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.08 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked MOUZ | 30c | 372.2$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.55 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed MOUZ | 25c | 354.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.22 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…946bbacked MOUZ | 5c | 347.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea9…daefbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 345.8$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked MOUZ | 30c | 330.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed MOUZ | 30c | 319.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed MOUZ | 30c | 304.44$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.31 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb527…be8fbacked MOUZ | 30c | 300.17$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StagePARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.