Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03ebd68382b751e3681863ad49d545a55251d8a3d52855f7e079715959c0e9c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 72c | 18,203$13,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,164.43 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed PARIVISION | 72c | 11,113$8,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,106.72 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 70c | 6,916$4,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.73 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed PARIVISION | 74c | 6,341$4,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.65 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed MOUZ | 26c | 6,121$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.86 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 28c | 5,009$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.37 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed MOUZ | 30c | 4,851$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.74 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed PARIVISION | 74c | 4,564$3,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.62 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed MOUZ | 26c | 4,054$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.98 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…2f4abacked MOUZ | 9c | 3,600$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 25c | 3,114$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.2 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked MOUZ | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed MOUZ | 10c | 2,938$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.47 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed MOUZ | 13c | 2,810$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.76 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked MOUZ | 26c | 2,695$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.48 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked MOUZ | 28c | 2,610$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.28 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed MOUZ | 24c | 2,294$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.44 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed MOUZ | 26c | 2,205$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.36 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION | 75c | 2,173$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.37 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ | 26c | 2,173$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.58 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked MOUZ | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.91 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed PARIVISION | 70c | 2,081$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed MOUZ | 19c | 2,045$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.44 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ | 26c | 2,032$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.97 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed MOUZ | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b1…cf86backed PARIVISION | 80c | 1,997$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.66 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed PARIVISION | 75c | 1,985$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.22 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked MOUZ | 26c | 1,957$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.73 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed PARIVISION | 73c | 1,956$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.14 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed PARIVISION | 74c | 1,902$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.51 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked MOUZ | 26c | 1,849$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.38 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed MOUZ | 30c | 1,746$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.2 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 1,709$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.11 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked MOUZ | 26c | 1,602$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.64 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed MOUZ | 26c | 1,591$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.77 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ | 28c | 1,540$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.76 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…a68abacked PARIVISION | 74c | 1,477$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed PARIVISION | 75c | 1,459$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.78 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 29c | 1,319$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.61 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed PARIVISION | 74c | 1,291$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.54 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 1,280$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.92 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked MOUZ | 25c | 1,209$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.15 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed MOUZ | 35c | 1,207$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.2 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed MOUZ | 25c | 1,194$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.5 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked MOUZ | 28c | 1,148$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.48 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed MOUZ | 15c | 1,139$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.93 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed MOUZ | 35c | 1,133$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 28c | 1,080$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.98 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked MOUZ | 25c | 1,070$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.5 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed MOUZ | 20c | 1,062$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.97 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked MOUZ | 26c | 1,060$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.55 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed MOUZ | 24c | 1,031$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.44 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked PARIVISION | 64c | 1,016$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.3 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed PARIVISION | 75c | 1,002$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.37 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed PARIVISION | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed PARIVISION | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 999.99$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MOUZ | 24c | 964.42$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.64 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked MOUZ | 25c | 955$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.75 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…0ad0backed MOUZ | 26c | 951.48$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.39 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PARIVISION | 74c | 930.06$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.43 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 889.29$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.15 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ | 32c | 887.55$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.02 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed MOUZ | 26c | 793.15$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.22 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6289…7175backed MOUZ | 27c | 792.22$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed MOUZ | 27c | 788$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.76 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked MOUZ | 32c | 749.38$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.8 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ | 22c | 747.08$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.97 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03d…07e1backed MOUZ | 27c | 669.52$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.64 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 656.67$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.17 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION | 75c | 635.85$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.1 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed MOUZ | 28c | 627.52$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.71 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked MOUZ | 6c | 620.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 617.48$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.7 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed PARIVISION | 70c | 605.17$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.99 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed MOUZ | 32c | 599.91$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.84 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ | 28c | 596.03$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.65 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed PARIVISION | 75c | 595.46$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.87 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed MOUZ | 29c | 593.3$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.06 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 30c | 591.64$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.18 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed PARIVISION | 75c | 573.01$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.78 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d6…b7b5backed MOUZ | 34c | 565.08$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.08 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…865cbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 562.68$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.39 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed MOUZ | 23c | 557.83$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.09 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed MOUZ | 15c | 548.07$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed MOUZ | 15c | 547.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…04aebacked PARIVISION | 75c | 526.04$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.57 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked PARIVISION | 70c | 519.06$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.72 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed MOUZ | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked MOUZ | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed MOUZ | 34c | 497.6$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…0539backed MOUZ | 10c | 463.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c1…8174backed MOUZ | 15c | 436.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 249 | 47.8%119 W · 130 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked MOUZ | 30c | 417.48$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.56 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed MOUZ | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed PARIVISION | 74c | 397.69$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.94 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed PARIVISION | 73c | 393.52$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d4…d2f2backed MOUZ | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StagePARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.