Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbd9ce5e1d96120a5a1a3e4d0f8b92f41fe1a5f4471c99ddabec153dc3de11bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ | 12c | 8,718$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.08 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…fcf8backed PARIVISION | 79c | 6,063$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d9…753abacked MOUZ | 6c | 4,443$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.39 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked MOUZ | 20c | 4,016$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.71 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -14.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -52%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked MOUZ | 6c | 3,924$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.21 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed PARIVISION | 80c | 2,904$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.86 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed MOUZ | 13c | 2,820$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.8 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…e80cbacked MOUZ | 6c | 2,589$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.8 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked MOUZ | 6c | 2,540$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.38 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…2f4abacked MOUZ | 9c | 2,248$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.63 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed MOUZ | 6c | 2,170$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.22 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked MOUZ | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked MOUZ | 5c | 1,999$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 1,873$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.48 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed MOUZ | 18c | 1,724$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.4 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed MOUZ | 1c | 1,428$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed PARIVISION | 79c | 1,349$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.65 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 17c | 1,066$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.87 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ | 21c | 1,003$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.63 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked MOUZ | 21c | 973.24$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.38 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked MOUZ | 21c | 952.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.05 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ | 5c | 880.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba31…d1dfbacked MOUZ | 21c | 830.4$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.38 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed MOUZ | 7c | 798.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 21c | 752.11$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.61 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed MOUZ | 14c | 650$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed MOUZ | 6c | 629.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed MOUZ | 21c | 615.97$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.35 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed MOUZ | 13c | 600.7$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.19 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ | 18c | 599.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed MOUZ | 21c | 547.16$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.9 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc937…273bbacked MOUZ | 7c | 539.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked MOUZ | 18c | 535$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.02 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 19c | 502.47$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.47 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked MOUZ | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…ea40backed MOUZ | 12c | 463.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…8b06backed PARIVISION | 74c | 456.77$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.21 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed MOUZ | 21c | 428.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.02 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed MOUZ | 20c | 392.52$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed MOUZ | 7c | 388.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed PARIVISION | 80c | 370.5$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked MOUZ | 23c | 366.17$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.13 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed MOUZ | 13c | 297.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ | 16c | 291.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked MOUZ | 22c | 290$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0745…31e2backed MOUZ | 11c | 269.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 250$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed PARIVISION | 80c | 247$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed PARIVISION | 80c | 247$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed MOUZ | 9c | 236.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9c…f755backed PARIVISION | 80c | 218.1$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ | 5c | 217.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked MOUZ | 21c | 213.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -8.5wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked MOUZ | 14c | 179.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked MOUZ | 19c | 155.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed PARIVISION | 78c | 148.6$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed PARIVISION | 80c | 148.2$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked MOUZ | 21c | 145.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MOUZ | 23c | 134.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 127.52$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed PARIVISION | 79c | 125.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca3…751bbacked MOUZ | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed PARIVISION | 78c | 119.84$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed MOUZ | 25c | 112.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed MOUZ | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed MOUZ | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 98.94$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 19c | 97.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked MOUZ | 25c | 97.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked MOUZ | 21c | 76.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed MOUZ | 21c | 69.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | -18.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x419e…deb1backed PARIVISION | 78c | 63.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce9…e3e2backed PARIVISION | 77c | 61.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f9…7d44backed PARIVISION | 80c | 56.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed MOUZ | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4802…c8e1backed PARIVISION | 77c | 51.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe24b…5142backed PARIVISION | 80c | 49.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 48.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 243 | 43.6%106 W · 137 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed PARIVISION | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…fb90backed PARIVISION | 75c | 33.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked PARIVISION | 80c | 32.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed PARIVISION | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 148 | 68.9%102 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked PARIVISION | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed PARIVISION | 80c | 21.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…bddfbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802c…e4b0backed PARIVISION | 80c | 18.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed PARIVISION | 80c | 18.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 215 | 51.6%111 W · 104 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…20a2backed PARIVISION | 78c | 17.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.