TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a9c…f755

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$128.57
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$563.83
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$38.65
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.6
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Bbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Regular Seasonbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$64.91
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$22.18
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.56
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$42.67
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.71
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$120.54
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+132.1%+$15.71
All 18 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: GLYPH vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked ex-HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: OG vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked ex-HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$105.84
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$43.62
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$88.32
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+46.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$607.74
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,432Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+114.1%+$1,633.96
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.7
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+109%+$65.42
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+242.7%+$92.99
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$49.21
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.97
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+34.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66%+$131.95
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,596Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$651.88
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$254.55
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$89.61
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$172.99
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+198.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$94.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.