Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GLYPH vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40c0c6349f0eebc2ea8fe7d71d8c55fd73096a08a4081aa1242ff45b4e705c92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-HEROICof GLYPH, ex-HEROIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $203,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed ex-HEROIC | 63c | 21,523$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,023.47 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked ex-HEROIC | 67c | 18,500$12,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,115.97 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc04e…75d9backed GLYPH | 32c | 15,041$4,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844.53 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed GLYPH | 33c | 13,787$4,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,484.53 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked GLYPH | 34c | 8,500$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,905 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed GLYPH | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked GLYPH | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.99 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed GLYPH | 32c | 5,098$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.27 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed GLYPH | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed ex-HEROIC | 67c | 4,900$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.37 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked ex-HEROIC | 68c | 4,619$3,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.94 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed GLYPH | 32c | 4,420$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.25 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed ex-HEROIC | 65c | 4,293$2,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.31 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed ex-HEROIC | 69c | 4,140$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.53 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed ex-HEROIC | 74c | 4,006$2,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.66 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked GLYPH | 40c | 4,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed ex-HEROIC | 71c | 3,963$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.64 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed GLYPH | 40c | 3,800$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed ex-HEROIC | 65c | 3,250$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked ex-HEROIC | 60c | 3,228$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.8 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked GLYPH | 28c | 3,164$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed GLYPH | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed ex-HEROIC | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked GLYPH | 26c | 2,750$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked ex-HEROIC | 74c | 2,750$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed ex-HEROIC | 76c | 2,571$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.75 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed GLYPH | 39c | 2,516$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.11 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked GLYPH | 27c | 2,478$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.75 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked GLYPH | 33c | 2,389$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.37 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed GLYPH | 36c | 2,250$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.49 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked GLYPH | 39c | 2,179$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.23 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked GLYPH | 20c | 2,071$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.5 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed GLYPH | 32c | 2,038$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.51 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed GLYPH | 39c | 2,035$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.64 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed ex-HEROIC | 74c | 2,000$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.63 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed GLYPH | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked ex-HEROIC | 66c | 1,810$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.7 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed ex-HEROIC | 69c | 1,723$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.06 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed GLYPH | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked GLYPH | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2469…4812backed GLYPH | 18c | 1,410$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.42 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked ex-HEROIC | 75c | 1,323$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.26 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked GLYPH | 29c | 1,251$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.06 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed GLYPH | 26c | 1,151$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.93 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed GLYPH | 31c | 1,123$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.23 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed ex-HEROIC | 69c | 1,061$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.33 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked GLYPH | 24c | 1,003$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.72 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed GLYPH | 24c | 1,002$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.48 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked GLYPH | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed GLYPH | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…906cbacked ex-HEROIC | 67c | 999.96$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked GLYPH | 35c | 948.47$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed GLYPH | 27c | 925.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed GLYPH | 35c | 836.99$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.79 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed ex-HEROIC | 60c | 830.83$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.33 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked ex-HEROIC | 69c | 807$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.17 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked ex-HEROIC | 67c | 750$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf917…bde0backed ex-HEROIC | 70c | 750$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked GLYPH | 38c | 656.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.43 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…2c38backed ex-HEROIC | 62c | 650.05$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.05 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98e…a046backed GLYPH | 39c | 630.56$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.92 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed GLYPH | 40c | 630.43$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked ex-HEROIC | 60c | 605$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed GLYPH | 38c | 600$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed GLYPH | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce5…94dabacked ex-HEROIC | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked ex-HEROIC | 67c | 564.95$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.88 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed GLYPH | 29c | 561.43$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.66 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce6…ba8bbacked ex-HEROIC | 68c | 546.35$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.83 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…e8c7backed ex-HEROIC | 68c | 541.53$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.29 | 206 | 61.7%127 W · 79 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked ex-HEROIC | 67c | 537.31$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.31 | 300 | 54.7%164 W · 136 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed GLYPH | 22c | 534.09$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.94 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d86…a6f9backed ex-HEROIC | 63c | 531.75$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.75 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed ex-HEROIC | 70c | 512.68$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.8 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9e…7928backed ex-HEROIC | 71c | 510$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.9 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed GLYPH | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed GLYPH | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed GLYPH | 39c | 495.5$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.51 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed ex-HEROIC | 62c | 464.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.7 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed GLYPH | 40c | 450$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.9 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb01…603fbacked GLYPH | 40c | 444$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked GLYPH | 6c | 426.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed ex-HEROIC | 63c | 415.24$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.54 | 135 | 51.9%70 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked GLYPH | 7c | 412.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked ex-HEROIC | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed GLYPH | 10c | 400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked GLYPH | 22c | 340.69$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f8…8c55backed ex-HEROIC | 59c | 339.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.39 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked ex-HEROIC | 60c | 333.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed ex-HEROIC | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked ex-HEROIC | 68c | 319.95$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.36 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed GLYPH | 33c | 303.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked GLYPH | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed GLYPH | 22c | 299.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f15…f950backed GLYPH | 27c | 277.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked ex-HEROIC | 60c | 273.48$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.95 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked GLYPH | 33c | 264.39$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked GLYPH | 29c | 256$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed ex-HEROIC | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked ex-HEROIC | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.