Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x120b15af9f5f44bf673580aec6e6e555f8bed923e5d3979fcda2617c154ad3d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 41c | 7,260$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,258.59 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…bab2backed Yes | 55c | 7,050$3,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,172.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c10…dd6ebacked Yes | 55c | 7,050$3,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,172.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…70debacked Yes | 56c | 6,850$3,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4abe…d34ebacked Yes | 55c | 6,850$3,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,082.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 76c | 6,649$5,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.12 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf573…30fcbacked No | 45c | 4,255$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…c6b4backed No | 45c | 4,255$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 25c | 4,024$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.49 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99ca…45bebacked No | 45c | 3,877$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0a…aa67backed No | 45c | 3,877$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…504ebacked No | 45c | 2,973$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c3…b801backed No | 45c | 2,973$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8047…6162backed No | 45c | 2,795$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae4…c5e8backed No | 45c | 2,795$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 22c | 2,730$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.26 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 74c | 2,632$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 21c | 1,694$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.92 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 25c | 1,607$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.92 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed Yes | 18c | 1,554$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked No | 28c | 1,524$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 21c | 1,477$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.05 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…6108backed Yes | 74c | 1,343$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca3…9546backed Yes | 18c | 1,334$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +126%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 24c | 1,315$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.4 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 71c | 1,299$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…648cbacked No | 21c | 1,296$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.28 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +10.8wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…b3a6backed Yes | 71c | 1,230$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.81 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…7ddcbacked Yes | 19c | 1,204$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +230.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…8e90backed Yes | 19c | 1,161$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +74%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 22c | 1,138$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.48 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 58c | 1,000$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.99 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…3b15backed Yes | 71c | 999.98$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 79c | 974.49$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.64 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 12c | 969.15$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.34 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f44…7470backed Yes | 52c | 966.02$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.67 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…24efbacked Yes | 19c | 845$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d86…d0a2backed Yes | 17c | 835$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 29c | 807.16$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.34 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9498…d950backed Yes | 19c | 781$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +165.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 22c | 740.76$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.85 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Yes | 78c | 740$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…3734backed Yes | 17c | 724$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfda4…1058backed Yes | 18c | 718$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +245.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf75c…838dbacked Yes | 19c | 714$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +202%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 46c | 693.79$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x413b…b488backed No | 30c | 677.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 21c | 670.66$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.65 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed Yes | 17c | 644$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 69c | 637.76$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.04 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18cd…d8d2backed Yes | 72c | 599.97$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfa…8d86backed Yes | 69c | 598.29$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 15c | 596.1$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.67 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 24c | 572$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.37 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…5db4backed Yes | 78c | 559.94$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 28c | 540.16$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.3 | 228 | 48.7%111 W · 117 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d2…6698backed Yes | 18c | 529$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 16cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 27c | 525$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…233abacked Yes | 33c | 524.75$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.41 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…fed7backed Yes | 58c | 521.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 19c | 510.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.55 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed Yes | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.19 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 70c | 455.35$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.61 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 27c | 452.46$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.58 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed Yes | 36c | 447.93$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.28 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Yes | 78c | 414.46$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked Yes | 18c | 407$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 76c | 402.1$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.51 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…395ebacked Yes | 16c | 400$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 68c | 388$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.16 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bd…4d4cbacked Yes | 18c | 386$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b7…db35backed Yes | 53c | 383.16$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…d650backed No | 56c | 372.22$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.02 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 22c | 366.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.83 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…27eabacked Yes | 29c | 364.07$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…86c3backed Yes | 72c | 363.59$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 47c | 361.53$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.31 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…83d7backed Yes | 19c | 361$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 19c | 349.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…4ca3backed Yes | 17c | 340$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 20c | 335.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.29 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Yes | 53c | 332.48$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…0e2bbacked Yes | 18c | 332$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 22c | 330$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 40c | 323.19$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.23 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb212…0f8ebacked Yes | 17c | 319$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e7…9bc7backed Yes | 16c | 301$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 78c | 299.85$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.02 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 21c | 270.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…973dbacked Yes | 18c | 267$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +259.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…6090backed Yes | 78c | 262.82$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2177…3fb4backed Yes | 35c | 244.23$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.64 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 25c | 234.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 25c | 230.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 494 | 11.5%57 W · 437 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 22c | 227.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…b9a8backed Yes | 71c | 225$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Yes | 80c | 222.23$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…f7eabacked Yes | 18c | 222$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?this page
- Will Belinda Robertson win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Doug Turner win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will John Sanchez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Judith Nakamura win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Mark Murphy win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Susana Martinez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.