Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73dd96f3ab77ff7fa578faaf10c47e02b047b10b3335d73743ec0c5cd5df6dcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $673,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $653,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $673,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 7,407$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 494 | 11.5%57 W · 437 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…72bbbacked Yes | 4c | 4,393$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 23c | 4,235$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.34 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 76c | 3,896$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.72 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x230d…b468backed Yes | 3c | 3,791$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb3…47dbbacked Yes | 4c | 3,644$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…ce23backed Yes | 3c | 3,275$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…dcbdbacked Yes | 4c | 3,224$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…e71dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,104$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…63a5backed Yes | 4c | 2,888$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…1f3ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,878$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…2adbbacked Yes | 4c | 2,872$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0477…a92dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,830$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683f…27dbbacked Yes | 4c | 2,782$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f67…52e7backed Yes | 4c | 2,707$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…c513backed Yes | 3c | 2,707$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd34…a9a2backed Yes | 3c | 2,688$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b1…396abacked Yes | 4c | 2,679$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbad…683dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,645$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…0402backed Yes | 4c | 2,616$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d1…5d0abacked Yes | 2c | 2,594$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef1…85e0backed Yes | 3c | 2,594$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef3…3a38backed Yes | 4c | 2,469$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b6…8307backed Yes | 4c | 2,461$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…9e9abacked Yes | 4c | 2,423$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd0…3dcabacked Yes | 2c | 2,402$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaa…f418backed Yes | 4c | 2,346$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936a…50bfbacked Yes | 4c | 2,310$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f4…0ef9backed Yes | 4c | 2,291$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a5…7749backed Yes | 2c | 2,280$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…3ad1backed Yes | 2c | 2,276$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071b…1b79backed Yes | 4c | 2,246$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e59…6e4ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,234$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…1613backed Yes | 4c | 2,228$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41db…601bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,222$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9113…0a59backed Yes | 4c | 2,166$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe04d…b74dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,157$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe3…65a2backed Yes | 4c | 2,150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a4…d8ccbacked Yes | 3c | 2,144$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f54…ef70backed Yes | 4c | 2,144$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c8…30afbacked Yes | 4c | 2,142$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0384…6a9fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,135$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0953…123bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,123$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10bf…fa7fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,104$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…fd4fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,097$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd0…a9c6backed Yes | 4c | 2,062$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce7…692ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,052$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06f5…878dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,018$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf96a…de5dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,946$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ae…9224backed Yes | 4c | 1,917$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…8e25backed Yes | 2c | 1,835$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…7837backed Yes | 4c | 1,825$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed9b…ba1cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,822$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58bb…ab95backed Yes | 4c | 1,820$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc0…83d7backed Yes | 4c | 1,810$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…c7d5backed Yes | 4c | 1,806$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…bd94backed Yes | 4c | 1,766$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfd…ce2fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,759$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef1…fb71backed Yes | 4c | 1,726$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d28…b6b7backed Yes | 4c | 1,702$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe05…4ee4backed Yes | 4c | 1,696$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…cb34backed Yes | 2c | 1,664$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…7f96backed Yes | 3c | 1,660$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9add…f7e1backed Yes | 4c | 1,635$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8647…3e4dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,633$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…2c19backed Yes | 4c | 1,572$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3380…0338backed Yes | 4c | 1,565$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6b…9246backed Yes | 4c | 1,564$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…a004backed Yes | 4c | 1,559$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e95…d59ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,553$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f6…447cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,530$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…a972backed Yes | 4c | 1,511$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc982…009bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,492$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f3…a0c5backed Yes | 4c | 1,488$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…9978backed Yes | 4c | 1,483$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e61…a3ebbacked Yes | 4c | 1,482$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6411backed Yes | 4c | 1,480$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4040…237bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,467$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b9…25b9backed Yes | 4c | 1,461$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef77…e829backed Yes | 4c | 1,455$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…5760backed Yes | 2c | 1,424$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9011…8a3abacked Yes | 4c | 1,399$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…dc9cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,392$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…4f68backed Yes | 4c | 1,369$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc80c…d966backed Yes | 4c | 1,366$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cca…f8e1backed Yes | 4c | 1,360$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1785…ec39backed Yes | 4c | 1,360$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac9…7f22backed Yes | 4c | 1,343$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…a1ccbacked Yes | 4c | 1,281$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4c…87a8backed Yes | 3c | 1,263$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe335…e799backed Yes | 4c | 1,258$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a23…3e66backed Yes | 4c | 1,255$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8d…188abacked Yes | 4c | 1,252$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f09…af8ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x265c…7e6bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,245$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…9f15backed Yes | 4c | 1,244$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4d…d270backed Yes | 3c | 1,230$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…4ebfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,203$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a4…30dfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,195$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f9d0backed Yes | 3c | 1,157$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?this page
- Will Belinda Robertson win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Doug Turner win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?Yes won
- Will John Sanchez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Judith Nakamura win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Mark Murphy win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Susana Martinez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.