TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIA Esportsof FURIA Esports, Evil Geniuses
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,085
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,708

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,085 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Evil Geniuses31c27,965$8,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,687.482729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked FURIA Esports64c11,308$7,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,071.037236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked FURIA Esports76c6,095$4,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.4131153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA Esports65c5,090$3,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781.3365559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA Esports65c4,865$3,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.968458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c1b…f0f9backed Evil Geniuses13c3,771$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.36944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FURIA Esports65c2,657$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.8953159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed FURIA Esports67c2,210$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.349844.9%44 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked FURIA Esports79c2,094$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.4868949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Evil Geniuses33c2,035$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.6226650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA Esports75c1,971$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.1253355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2371…d59fbacked Evil Geniuses38c1,563$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.191457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Evil Geniuses36c1,158$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.85238.5%20 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Evil Geniuses12c1,019$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3145033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed FURIA Esports65c1,002$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.6956357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Evil Geniuses35c961$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.326051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ce7…81a3backed Evil Geniuses35c960.86$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.35952.5%31 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked Evil Geniuses10c951.66$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.981717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed FURIA Esports70c898.93$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.8370251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Evil Geniuses35c766.61$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.6115342.5%65 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed FURIA Esports67c755.64$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.8329151.5%150 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked FURIA Esports66c568.29$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.32268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+37.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked FURIA Esports63c548.34$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.073540%14 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed FURIA Esports66c547.9$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.5421558.1%125 W · 90 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed Evil Geniuses38c506.74$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.564949%24 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Evil Geniuses20c492.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.154533.3%15 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Evil Geniuses7c458.92$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.211,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Evil Geniuses26c396.78$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1340731.7%129 W · 278 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Evil Geniuses24c391.42$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.851637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f07…b30ebacked Evil Geniuses35c323.53$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.232548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed FURIA Esports65c316.29$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.728151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2897…b9d8backed Evil Geniuses35c301.55$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.712347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5b0…38c4backed Evil Geniuses35c288.68$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.043951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed FURIA Esports67c269.52$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.484065%26 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7926…a4febacked Evil Geniuses37c267.74$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Evil Geniuses26c251.92$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2416442.1%69 W · 95 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x199b…354ebacked Evil Geniuses16c251.83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.035639.3%22 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93af…32abbacked FURIA Esports76c230.27$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.166852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Evil Geniuses30c223.53$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0610225.5%26 W · 76 L-10.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x0128…d18abacked Evil Geniuses35c211.42$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748151.9%42 W · 39 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fa3…561abacked Evil Geniuses35c186.85$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f1…c252backed FURIA Esports72c182.92$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.073542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked FURIA Esports67c180.35$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.662166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Evil Geniuses33c158.55$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3253442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d6a…26f7backed Evil Geniuses35c158.04$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.32757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed FURIA Esports65c149.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.888050%40 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Evil Geniuses33c148.52$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0132047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64a5…2563backed Evil Geniuses35c145.72$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed Evil Geniuses36c133.82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.089654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Evil Geniuses35c123.73$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.713256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Evil Geniuses35c123.56$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2542840%171 W · 257 L-22.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed FURIA Esports65c116.89$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.915752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f21…653cbacked Evil Geniuses35c114.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.064353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30d8…49a3backed Evil Geniuses35c108.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.94955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c8…007bbacked Evil Geniuses35c106.29$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed FURIA Esports69c106.27$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.092962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Evil Geniuses26c104.32$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.231,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Evil Geniuses35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3578562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Evil Geniuses35c99.3$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7562156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0b5…a0d7backed Evil Geniuses22c98.09$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.895240.4%21 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87e5…74f7backed FURIA Esports71c97.38$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.11643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Evil Geniuses32c96.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5837545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf012…7354backed Evil Geniuses35c96.07$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.632634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-38.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Evil Geniuses28c86.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1116842.3%71 W · 97 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Evil Geniuses12c82.62$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1069722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x20db…d953backed Evil Geniuses35c81.85$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.65650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked FURIA Esports65c80.64$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2242051.9%218 W · 202 L-21.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x081f…d5c0backed FURIA Esports67c76.76$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.371866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8381…a304backed FURIA Esports65c75.31$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.36666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0737…fe78backed Evil Geniuses35c74.84$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.21540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9f8…6ef8backed Evil Geniuses26c74.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.111540%6 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecb1…cee0backed Evil Geniuses35c73.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.82862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2487…0ad0backed Evil Geniuses28c71.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x627e…b219backed Evil Geniuses35c68.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.03450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa3f…233cbacked Evil Geniuses35c68.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.032850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Evil Geniuses31c68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.086924.6%17 W · 52 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-46.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Evil Geniuses30c68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.426730.7%82 W · 185 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc667…0359backed Evil Geniuses35c67.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.661963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e5f…b005backed Evil Geniuses35c67.13$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed FURIA Esports72c63.45$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.863652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5345…dd4abacked Evil Geniuses35c61.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.391450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc568…916dbacked FURIA Esports66c59.56$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.211952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x442c…f1cbbacked Evil Geniuses35c55.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.37450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed FURIA Esports77c55.24$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.535538.2%21 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa357…ec9abacked Evil Geniuses35c54.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.211866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd60f…b6c4backed FURIA Esports66c54.73$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.731346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa971…5b4abacked Evil Geniuses35c54.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed Evil Geniuses35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.58757.5%50 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3bb7…4a53backed Evil Geniuses35c48.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8283…828abacked Evil Geniuses35c48.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+41.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb5…f4f7backed FURIA Esports64c46.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.862356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Evil Geniuses32c46.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9357517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x317f…3a7abacked Evil Geniuses32c44.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3914747.6%70 W · 77 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Evil Geniuses27c42.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3315512.3%19 W · 136 L-27.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-62.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf6a1…5a4fbacked FURIA Esports67c42.27$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.052766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FURIA Esports70c41.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.571,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bf1…8506backed Evil Geniuses35c41.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.422254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x897a…1495backed Evil Geniuses40c38.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.421338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe22f…49b1backed Evil Geniuses34c33.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.524652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed Evil Geniuses33c33.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1915931.4%50 W · 109 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.