CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebf05b400433cdc701c6f0bceb574114937ec1aeb9316baadb4aa7cf1dcf15a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof FURIA, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $362,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,326 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 21,585$10,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,572.51 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed FURIA | 0c | 20,181$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed FURIA | 53c | 16,568$8,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,719.91 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab80…ffc0backed FURIA | 43c | 10,517$4,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,561.87 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…7074backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 8,295$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,764.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 8,246$3,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,478.35 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…5972backed FURIA | 52c | 6,232$3,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240.64 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd600…b431backed FURIA | 0c | 6,011$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed FURIA | 50c | 4,569$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Aurora Gaming | 1c | 4,026$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,985.47 | 133 | 15.8%21 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 3,918$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.92 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 3,356$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.67 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed FURIA | 55c | 3,151$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 3,140$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.44 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed FURIA | 67c | 3,049$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.55 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 2,771$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.92 | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 2,669$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.06 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 2,608$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.9 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 2,604$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.79 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed FURIA | 57c | 2,473$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.81 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 2,422$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.37 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 2,403$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.03 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked FURIA | 40c | 2,357$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.1 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked FURIA | 71c | 2,065$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed FURIA | 57c | 2,052$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.64 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 1,959$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.4 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed FURIA | 51c | 1,850$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.18 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aurora Gaming | 35c | 1,693$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.99 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed FURIA | 56c | 1,670$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.47 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 1,605$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.9 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 28c | 1,582$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.82 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 1,476$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.68 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 1,431$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.14 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 1,365$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.55 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed FURIA | 55c | 1,355$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.3 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed FURIA | 49c | 1,250$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.79 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed FURIA | 49c | 1,237$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 1,228$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.41 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed FURIA | 47c | 1,206$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.82 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.99 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 1,152$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.13 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Aurora Gaming | 74c | 1,109$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.12 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…df85backed FURIA | 38c | 1,043$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 1,000$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.46 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…759fbacked FURIA | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked FURIA | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked FURIA | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed FURIA | 49c | 977.67$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.01 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…d1ffbacked FURIA | 53c | 972.82$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.08 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…3973backed FURIA | 2c | 952.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…0d37backed FURIA | 53c | 900$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…0956backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 877.82$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.67 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 783.37$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.36 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 724.25$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.42 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked FURIA | 63c | 715.15$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.58 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked FURIA | 2c | 700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed FURIA | 2c | 700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 698.95$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.51 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 695.27$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.61 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…f839backed FURIA | 35c | 694.57$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e8…db51backed FURIA | 39c | 688.97$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.82 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 672.04$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.07 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92fc…2f25backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 670$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.31 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 628.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.67 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed FURIA | 74c | 564.91$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.52 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed FURIA | 71c | 563.56$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed FURIA | 46c | 562.36$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.03 | 210 | 55.7%117 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 561.64$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.11 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Aurora Gaming | 3c | 549.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.57 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 541.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.89 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed FURIA | 46c | 540.05$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.42 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Aurora Gaming | 26c | 519.67$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.84 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 516$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.58 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 508.95$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.51 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed FURIA | 56c | 502.67$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.5 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb03a…ceddbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed FURIA | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 298 | 51.3%153 W · 145 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a2…6b9abacked FURIA | 54c | 500$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked FURIA | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 320 | 42.5%136 W · 184 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…44a3backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 491.95$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.83 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…4fb2backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 488.4$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.75 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 454.43$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.45 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 450$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.98 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed FURIA | 55c | 449.55$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.25 | 227 | 61.7%140 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed FURIA | 38c | 447.37$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked FURIA | 53c | 447.31$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.08 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e3…4351backed FURIA | 25c | 446.82$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Aurora Gaming | 22c | 439$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.86 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0db…d4f0backed FURIA | 57c | 429.76$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.97 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.37per pick | 56cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5846…0388backed FURIA | 43c | 425.2$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.23 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 418.83$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.72 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed FURIA | 51c | 411$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.79 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed FURIA | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35c…906dbacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 402.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.96 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 402.9$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.99 | 471 | 65.2%307 W · 164 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…3ef9backed Aurora Gaming | 5c | 400$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group AAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.