CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96a5a9206b1bc5f9e561c278eb8498c39f8b257bc5e791aa79c86ccbcb85e6d6

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $22,573

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,573 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7879…3653backed Over	52c	1,900$988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$988	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Under	60c	1,652$999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$652.78	209	46.9%98 W · 111 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	28c	1,448$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.95	3,096	48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L	+135.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ac…aa06backed Over	49c	1,004$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.28	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Under	48c	893$429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464.36	349	43%150 W · 199 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	62c	751.54$469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.94	3,257	50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L	+98.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Over	35c	598.89$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.18	2,214	47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under	51c	563.04$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.52	209	44%92 W · 117 L	-11.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under	49c	413.78$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.99	167	38.9%65 W · 102 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Under	50c	408.38$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.29	144	54.2%78 W · 66 L	+9.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under	48c	404.31$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.24	1,573	35.3%556 W · 1,017 L	+22.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Under	53c	386.92$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.76	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+6.1wins	+0.24per pick	44cpaid	+56.9%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Under	48c	374.53$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.76	112	52.7%59 W · 53 L	+5.5wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57eb…beeabacked Under	44c	364.43$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.08	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Over	35c	362.24$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.69	1,969	46.7%919 W · 1,050 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Over	51c	356.83$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183	193	51.8%100 W · 93 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x879b…fb7bbacked Over	58c	344.83$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2212…267ebacked Over	58c	335.17$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.95	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Under	48c	312.5$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.5	209	52.6%110 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under	72c	235.48$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.84	1,650	32.7%540 W · 1,110 L	-49.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over	45c	234.24$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.41	245	44.5%109 W · 136 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under	51c	209.07$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.54	1,310	53.7%703 W · 607 L	+32.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Over	50c	200.61$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	168	53.6%90 W · 78 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…7287backed Under	48c	200$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	105	41%43 W · 62 L	-10.4wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Over	51c	200$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	54	50%27 W · 27 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Over	56c	199.99$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	202	51%103 W · 99 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	49c	139.08$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.15	2,434	44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L	-64.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Over	44c	136.36$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfd2…7a82backed Over	51c	125$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd68d…1f62backed Over	51c	110.15$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.72	254	46.1%117 W · 137 L	-11.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7cd…ef38backed Over	57c	100$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb83f…b17ebacked Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	242	49.2%119 W · 123 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	47c	92.93$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.53	1,714	46.7%801 W · 913 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8510…e41ebacked Under	44c	90.91$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.91	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+4.5wins	+0.25per pick	31cpaid	+50.9%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked Over	52c	88.67$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.11	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	64cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked Over	58c	88.32$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.23	131	58.8%77 W · 54 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Over	32c	83$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.32	292	44.5%130 W · 162 L	-10.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.8	812	46.2%375 W · 437 L	-35.8wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4cf…9332backed Over	27c	78.44$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.86	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over	17c	77.89$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.61	1,547	33.9%524 W · 1,023 L	-73.4wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over	45c	69.58$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.31	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ebb…5db1backed Over	52c	63$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.76	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	65cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb4…6502backed Over	53c	54.11$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.68	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Over	52c	52.5$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.3	84	59.5%50 W · 34 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba4b…96c9backed Over	52c	52.02$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Under	72c	50$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.25	77	66.2%51 W · 26 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over	58c	50$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	97	48.5%47 W · 50 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Over	45c	49.02$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.06	41	22%9 W · 32 L	-5.3wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	52c	48.93$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.69	604	51%308 W · 296 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6055…c9dcbacked Over	52c	48.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Over	52c	48.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	564	54.3%306 W · 258 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Over	58c	41$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.78	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Under	58c	41$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.03	1,485	58%862 W · 623 L	+66.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over	48c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	347	42.9%149 W · 198 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…51fdbacked Over	49c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	88	42%37 W · 51 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0762…30e7backed Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	180	42.2%76 W · 104 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb898…151cbacked Under	52c	37.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.23	103	53.4%55 W · 48 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under	50c	37.84$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.09	5,050	55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L	+117.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cf3…1eabbacked Over	36c	36.54$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	248	41.1%102 W · 146 L	-11.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe253…b9c7backed Under	44c	34.07$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.08	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Over	49c	30.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	334	56.6%189 W · 145 L	-9.7wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Over	51c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.25	124	52.4%65 W · 59 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11ab…f911backed Over	46c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	104	55.8%58 W · 46 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf676…d883backed Over	51c	26.85$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.7	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Under	68c	25.39$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.02	59	57.6%34 W · 25 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xed52…2dbdbacked Under	63c	24.9$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.21	135	53.3%72 W · 63 L	+7.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed Over	58c	21.13$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.25	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Under	59c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	114	50.9%58 W · 56 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb2…2bb3backed Over	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	87	64.4%56 W · 31 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	67cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x912c…f468backed Under	56c	19.99$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.8	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+63.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Over	59c	18.64$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group AAurora Gaming won
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event