TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TheMongolzof Liquid, TheMongolz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$561,624

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $561,624 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked TheMongolz58c15,813$9,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,641.3976058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9750…263dbacked Liquid51c11,054$5,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6703036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3038…b822backed Liquid0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf77c…766dbacked TheMongolz64c9,694$6,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,534.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+54.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed TheMongolz56c9,689$5,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,270.8339248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Liquid41c9,243$3,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,759.0583652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Liquid23c8,520$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014362.9%90 W · 53 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked TheMongolz69c6,392$4,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010.6481751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Liquid57c6,233$3,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,539.4281843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked TheMongolz62c5,677$3,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.1921939.7%87 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Liquid39c5,550$2,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,164.56634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Liquid30c5,512$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.673,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed TheMongolz64c5,079$3,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,837.271,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed TheMongolz79c4,870$3,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.0837646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Liquid39c4,012$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.5126549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Liquid35c3,607$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.4324346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Liquid1c3,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45140%0 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Liquid35c3,481$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.8947738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf05c…66b9backed Liquid1c3,400$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42300%0 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5978…aec4backed Liquid13c3,057$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40022938%87 W · 142 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed Liquid15c3,051$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.016716.4%11 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-54.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Liquid1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3080%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed TheMongolz59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23023243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed TheMongolz80c2,980$2,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.9222142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Liquid29c2,905$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.376,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Liquid33c2,701$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.541,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked Liquid50c2,203$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.3222927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed TheMongolz77c2,189$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.5938868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5be7…186cbacked Liquid16c2,172$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed TheMongolz60c2,018$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.9822448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Liquid41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8201,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked TheMongolz62c1,952$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.91,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36e9…d246backed TheMongolz66c1,824$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.9226368.8%181 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Liquid45c1,824$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.764,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked TheMongolz59c1,807$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.191,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked TheMongolz59c1,801$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.6510251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Liquid43c1,757$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.6880744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked TheMongolz76c1,756$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.839970.7%282 W · 117 L+38.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Liquid21c1,750$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.1861228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda1a…3407backed Liquid44c1,672$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.6528960.6%175 W · 114 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed TheMongolz61c1,639$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.4246949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Liquid41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61578639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked TheMongolz61c1,421$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.152,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Liquid1c1,300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161943.6%7 W · 187 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Liquid1c1,300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191030%0 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Liquid25c1,292$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.882,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed Liquid23c1,270$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28620838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed TheMongolz59c1,225$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.546749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed TheMongolz76c1,193$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.7322761.7%140 W · 87 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaafa…ba1abacked Liquid25c1,161$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.1640%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed TheMongolz58c1,149$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.424,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Liquid23c1,109$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Liquid32c1,077$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34011644.8%52 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70d8…5d64backed Liquid42c1,071$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45012452.4%65 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed Liquid48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed TheMongolz60c1,040$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.0516152.8%85 W · 76 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Liquid48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48046345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked TheMongolz68c1,000$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.2235850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Liquid2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16290%0 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc2…9c0dbacked Liquid20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012637.3%47 W · 79 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked Liquid2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16340%0 W · 34 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1c9…131cbacked Liquid21c1,000$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.16137.7%23 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d0f…142bbacked Liquid1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Liquid39c972.14$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.32,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked Liquid24c963.85$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.7332536%117 W · 208 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7926…a4febacked Liquid8c940.32$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.263158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Liquid36c939.95$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.299054.4%49 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Liquid42c931$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.645,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x918e…c0f6backed Liquid22c915.17$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.76195.3%1 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick25cpaid-91.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Liquid2c900$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151973.6%7 W · 190 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Liquid2c900$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152150.9%2 W · 213 L-1.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Liquid36c763.01$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.5510347.6%49 W · 54 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24f1…537cbacked TheMongolz69c745.61$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.1514555.2%80 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57eb…beeabacked TheMongolz63c745.01$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.192853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Liquid23c740$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.431444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Liquid43c700.37$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019355.4%107 W · 86 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7556…0f44backed TheMongolz60c663.78$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.787851.3%40 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz61c630.51$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.211,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked TheMongolz64c620.12$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.619848%47 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1554…3b03backed Liquid45c619.26$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.843946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Liquid14c614.47$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.56245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Liquid25c607$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.331,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x782f…b46abacked Liquid42c561.17$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.694850%24 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked TheMongolz62c560.81$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.51,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fd…8002backed TheMongolz58c552.29$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.4213950.4%70 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ccb…bbd7backed Liquid49c510.61$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502512%3 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-47.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Liquid24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Liquid40c499.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9924134.4%83 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34c0…b0e0backed Liquid42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007552%39 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad09…3c3fbacked Liquid34c471.27$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.2311344.2%50 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f5…1a48backed Liquid27c467.39$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.396134.4%21 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Liquid38c460.53$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4088…0da3backed Liquid22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003729.7%11 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x271f…b592backed Liquid22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dd1…8a75backed Liquid42c446$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.32616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-63.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed TheMongolz57c424.25$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.3560848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb95…7e94backed Liquid14c410.8$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.96650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Liquid49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018049.4%89 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Liquid41c400$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16235744.3%158 W · 199 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Liquid34c391.84$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.6952837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.