CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe79d628e285c1817f090bba743739fec3eaabbcfe317da7ee45bb4578343fd69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,098 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 75c | 1,194$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.01 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Over | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 51c | 956.86$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.86 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked Over | 28c | 810.71$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 57c | 788.46$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.29 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 31c | 632.11$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.82 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Over | 49c | 626.87$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.14 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Under | 51c | 530$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.7 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 55c | 500$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.78 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 53c | 464.14$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.14 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Over | 48c | 413.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 32c | 366.86$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.19 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…22e0backed Under | 67c | 210.16$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 199.97$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.98 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 65c | 197.6$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.63 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…962ebacked Over | 40c | 143.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Under | 68c | 126.18$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 17c | 124.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Under | 65c | 119.31$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f22…9d96backed Over | 46c | 108.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Over | 49c | 102.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…3769backed Under | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Under | 65c | 85.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…c9dcbacked Over | 31c | 80.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…a933backed Over | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked Under | 67c | 73.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 37c | 71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 50.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Over | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 40c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5010…3bdabacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Over | 31c | 38.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 107 | 29.9%32 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Over | 47c | 32.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a0…915bbacked Over | 49c | 32.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 77c | 29.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Over | 57c | 26.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…9f19backed Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Under | 52c | 24.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 51c | 21.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Under | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 314 | 40.1%126 W · 188 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group BTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Odd won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.