CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8be92e742ac16ca20cdeea795e840a570f0747b3858f51c4f6d346c5ff67982
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof TheMongolz, Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,038 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Liquid | 59c | 12,604$7,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,436.28 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Liquid | 61c | 9,662$5,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,875.52 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Liquid | 60c | 7,261$4,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,340.42 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed TheMongolz | 41c | 7,030$2,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,173.65 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked TheMongolz | 40c | 4,879$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,937.08 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed TheMongolz | 38c | 3,780$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.6 | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed TheMongolz | 41c | 3,659$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.54 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed TheMongolz | 40c | 3,560$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.63 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed TheMongolz | 40c | 3,519$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.64 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed TheMongolz | 40c | 3,348$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…db39backed Liquid | 63c | 3,193$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Liquid | 60c | 3,017$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.33 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Liquid | 60c | 2,291$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.98 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…44a3backed TheMongolz | 41c | 1,900$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Liquid | 61c | 1,900$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.99 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Liquid | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed TheMongolz | 40c | 1,591$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.9 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde7…f0a1backed TheMongolz | 40c | 1,372$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Liquid | 60c | 1,249$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.4 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed TheMongolz | 42c | 996.11$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.62 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Liquid | 62c | 940.33$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.42 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5664backed TheMongolz | 38c | 814.43$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.09 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…f3eabacked TheMongolz | 41c | 802.44$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.44 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked TheMongolz | 39c | 784$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.24 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Liquid | 60c | 777$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.2 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed TheMongolz | 40c | 755$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.58 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Liquid | 60c | 750$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed TheMongolz | 40c | 736.15$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.15 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed TheMongolz | 45c | 666.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.8 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…85febacked TheMongolz | 46c | 648.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.83 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Liquid | 57c | 587$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.76 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Liquid | 66c | 534.04$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.35 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked Liquid | 61c | 514.75$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed TheMongolz | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Liquid | 50c | 490.49$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.24 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1e…9d4cbacked TheMongolz | 36c | 429.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.19 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…b3b6backed Liquid | 63c | 424$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Liquid | 52c | 420$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked TheMongolz | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Liquid | 33c | 364.81$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…7287backed TheMongolz | 42c | 357.83$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.83 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Liquid | 58c | 354.89$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.84 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed TheMongolz | 41c | 346.5$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.44 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Liquid | 58c | 328.83$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.72 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Liquid | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba0…97bfbacked TheMongolz | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked TheMongolz | 40c | 274.43$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.66 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1554…3b03backed TheMongolz | 64c | 271.97$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb03a…ceddbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 270$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Liquid | 31c | 267.75$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1217…96c6backed TheMongolz | 40c | 249.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed TheMongolz | 40c | 248.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.85 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed TheMongolz | 40c | 247.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.02 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed TheMongolz | 41c | 244.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.17 | 252 | 52.8%133 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed TheMongolz | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed TheMongolz | 40c | 234.33$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.36 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Liquid | 60c | 218.59$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.58 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed TheMongolz | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Liquid | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c84…ac9abacked Liquid | 61c | 199.97$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Liquid | 60c | 192.36$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.54 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Liquid | 59c | 188.37$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.14 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed TheMongolz | 61c | 182.83$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Liquid | 64c | 180$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Liquid | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4554…9694backed TheMongolz | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed TheMongolz | 44c | 157.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked TheMongolz | 38c | 149.42$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked TheMongolz | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed TheMongolz | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked TheMongolz | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed TheMongolz | 41c | 124.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.39 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c71…adccbacked TheMongolz | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed TheMongolz | 41c | 117.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…c606backed TheMongolz | 38c | 110.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd419…0d64backed Liquid | 38c | 106.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed TheMongolz | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed TheMongolz | 38c | 103.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…0b56backed TheMongolz | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked TheMongolz | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed TheMongolz | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Liquid | 46c | 93.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed TheMongolz | 43c | 92.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfed…096dbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed TheMongolz | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Liquid | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Liquid | 21c | 82.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Liquid | 60c | 82.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked TheMongolz | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…c6ccbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +57%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…32f0backed TheMongolz | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 182 | 39%71 W · 111 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Liquid | 28c | 77.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Liquid | 60c | 70.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 368 | 46.7%172 W · 196 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Liquid | 64c | 70.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864f…ebe6backed Liquid | 70c | 69.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…2c29backed TheMongolz | 39c | 67.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa92e…1160backed TheMongolz | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 207 | 32.4%67 W · 140 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Liquid | 60c | 62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…4cf3backed TheMongolz | 38c | 61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed TheMongolz | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group BTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.