TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 212.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$436,380
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$437,008

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $436,380 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over53c364,515$193,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193,005.8587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under47c143,578$67,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,096.4566248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under47c100,000$47,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,0002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c63,295$29,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,573.624,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under45c32,590$14,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,765.6643542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c14,211$6,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,522.682,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c4,099$2,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,083.814,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c2,470$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.341,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under48c2,383$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.161,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under48c1,932$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.373,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under57c1,779$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.13,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c1,447$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.693,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over54c1,421$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.889,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Over48c1,411$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67220651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c1,167$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.842,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Under47c1,100$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5838747.1%41 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9175…bd29backed Over55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5503060%18 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over53c869.13$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.641,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over54c799.99$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.1734851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under59c710.65$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.4919246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under48c666.67$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.6787453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c653.9$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.732,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under46c605.8$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.23,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over14c460$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.961,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over55c446.16$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.3916346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over53c410.72$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.6858953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64f7…32aabacked Over43c346.43$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.453154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0803…3a65backed Over21c345.88$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7140%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over13c341.42$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4828842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over53c304.55$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.4171654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Under48c293.75$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.7521550.2%108 W · 107 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Over53c289.06$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.27948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a9f…4734backed Over57c228.07$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c216.92$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.94,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Over27c210$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.510349.5%51 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over6c206.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.772,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under46c195.34$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4855347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f4…87bdbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004860.4%29 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c4d…1b43backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over56c177.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under78c138$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5411354.9%62 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over14c132.28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.992,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x852f…3aaebacked Over26c129$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.088348.2%40 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6023657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under44c103.8$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.131,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over48c103.1$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3460250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5562450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5224946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5340541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5322044.5%98 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over53c94.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over54c91$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.141,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a37…180cbacked Over53c75.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.243452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under47c75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7548852%254 W · 234 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Under46c74.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4922456.3%126 W · 98 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Under47c70$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.125245.2%114 W · 138 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83fe…23d9backed Over52c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.45036%18 W · 32 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Over26c63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3137665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xec3b…fbabbacked Over57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308057.5%46 W · 34 L-0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over47c52.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6845445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05f…91d5backed Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512857.8%74 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4074…6059backed Over53c46.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x341b…b92cbacked Over55c46.53$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.598344.6%37 W · 46 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over54c43.39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.381,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under46c41.95$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6565349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.487049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed Under48c38.15$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.744942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf32c…ff08backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3750…baa0backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over52c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2443052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd366…c942backed Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Over55c36.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8610850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Under47c36.11$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1113954%75 W · 64 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked Under48c35.88$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.646058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.31,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db2…cc8cbacked Over38c29.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1117153.8%92 W · 79 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2401…563ebacked Over53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Over55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517342.8%74 W · 99 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5228…0923backed Over56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb760…0be8backed Over57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Under48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.922336.8%82 W · 141 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under61c21.7$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.481,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.