TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-17.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Knicks, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$726,648

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $726,648 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1bc0…4429backed Nets50c220,000$110,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109,90048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Knicks51c200,000$102,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,999.8732653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Nets49c100,000$49,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,00044352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Knicks51c76,200$38,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,861.993847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Nets49c65,947$32,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,641.331,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Knicks50c50,645$25,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,335.51,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Knicks50c32,936$16,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,468.2317554.9%96 W · 79 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Nets49c22,377$10,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,412.2723147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Knicks51c19,572$9,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,995.1626648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nets49c15,961$7,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,119.584,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Knicks50c12,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Nets49c9,157$4,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,669.8524744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Knicks50c9,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Knicks51c8,914$4,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,546.1411335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe33f…eed7backed Knicks50c8,646$4,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3233943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Nets46c7,340$3,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,963.6266250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Knicks51c7,000$3,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,598.181,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Knicks51c6,911$3,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,524.7332540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Knicks51c6,814$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Knicks50c5,870$2,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,93514245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Knicks51c5,780$2,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,947.6517550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Nets49c5,778$2,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,975.7487750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Knicks50c5,381$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.619445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks50c5,336$2,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.563,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8dde…fd22backed Nets47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Nets47c4,274$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.0439842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Nets49c4,130$2,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.319952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Knicks50c4,010$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00538946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Nets49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.9879549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Knicks51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00018349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Knicks51c3,846$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,961.4617050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Knicks53c3,774$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Knicks54c3,483$1,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.246756.7%38 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b97…0d79backed Nets49c3,265$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.31944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Knicks53c3,065$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.431,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Nets48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.9948054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks53c2,542$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.061,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a0…82f8backed Nets47c2,389$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa02…c5afbacked Knicks53c2,329$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc00…7aabbacked Knicks53c2,237$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.6120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe9b…945abacked Nets50c2,169$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks27c2,164$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.398,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ad…e395backed Nets50c2,143$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nets48c2,127$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.724,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x148a…437fbacked Nets47c2,101$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.532100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…0a3dbacked Knicks50c2,071$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b5d…bea1backed Nets47c2,065$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d8e…858cbacked Knicks53c2,058$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.7420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2804…01edbacked Nets47c2,018$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8246…9f06backed Nets47c2,001$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.532100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Knicks50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae5…679ebacked Knicks53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9452…bdfcbacked Nets47c1,912$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Nets48c1,893$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.236359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2c5…9041backed Knicks50c1,864$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9948…47e7backed Knicks54c1,820$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9831250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16dc…cfd5backed Nets47c1,819$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.072100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9d3…6075backed Knicks53c1,775$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x772f…aea3backed Knicks50c1,728$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f1d…7063backed Knicks53c1,714$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.4220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7bb…7437backed Knicks53c1,710$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7af…b0d3backed Nets47c1,701$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.532100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Knicks54c1,666$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.642,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34ae…6751backed Knicks53c1,664$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd78…f928backed Nets50c1,652$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fcc…b4afbacked Nets50c1,640$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8202100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e0c…3fd1backed Knicks50c1,627$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6d9…7480backed Knicks50c1,616$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0601…d81bbacked Knicks50c1,612$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3caa…0a98backed Nets47c1,586$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5369…49dbbacked Knicks53c1,571$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.6320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe135…83edbacked Nets50c1,524$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7622100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6282…1ea4backed Knicks53c1,521$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.1320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Nets47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79547542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46ec…83c3backed Knicks53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49f4…13f1backed Knicks53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabd0…b892backed Knicks53c1,419$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.07250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbd3…a174backed Knicks53c1,400$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fd1…e532backed Knicks54c1,392$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7503268.8%22 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x592f…3920backed Nets50c1,390$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6952100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Nets49c1,369$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.191,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Knicks44c1,364$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.162,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets49c1,334$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.243,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Knicks52c1,327$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.1421546.5%100 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Knicks52c1,212$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.6417041.8%71 W · 99 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Knicks54c1,177$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.575745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Knicks45c1,100$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.3718651.6%96 W · 90 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Nets55c1,073$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.982,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Nets49c1,051$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.021,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd09e…714abacked Nets47c1,028$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Nets50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Knicks16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16028842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Knicks54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54050954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2b6…d7cebacked Knicks52c991.71$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.827542.7%32 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Knicks52c987.36$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.599855.1%54 W · 44 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7726…4627backed Knicks51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks50c948.74$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.439,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76fc…48fabacked Knicks52c878.76$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.531241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets47c854.05$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.684,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Nets51c833.53$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.533860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.