TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,853

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,853 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over46c47,839$21,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,903.554539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under55c24,889$13,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,283.2943542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Under51c20,015$10,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,807.446654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under54c20,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,20066248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under54c12,187$6,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,588.74,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over44c8,950$3,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,93831644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0697…fb17backed Over49c6,702$3,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,290.64850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd2…1c0cbacked Over49c6,096$2,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9871546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c7…6f98backed Over49c3,919$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ada…ecefbacked Under51c3,919$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.312100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c2,965$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.864,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d08…876abacked Under54c2,582$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3af…f92fbacked Under54c2,497$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62e0…c64abacked Over46c2,440$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf160…763abacked Under54c2,413$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e45…f3b2backed Under54c2,407$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb62a…5638backed Under54c2,321$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc67…1379backed Over46c2,292$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d3…78d4backed Over46c2,280$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68be…bc27backed Over46c2,276$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1246…a8bcbacked Under56c2,261$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b1…6ed8backed Over44c2,257$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ecc…1adcbacked Under56c2,241$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x686c…3ad4backed Under56c2,238$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fdb…c378backed Under56c2,232$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5cc…cdd1backed Under56c2,206$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6da6…78d8backed Under54c2,194$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70e5…15bfbacked Over44c2,161$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…6fc3backed Over44c2,154$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7989…97a5backed Under54c2,135$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e06…b039backed Under54c2,130$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x969e…ae3dbacked Under56c2,092$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc548…f1bcbacked Over44c2,080$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under56c2,035$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.212,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x282b…c8c2backed Over46c2,034$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23f2…b235backed Under54c2,024$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x074a…21b8backed Over46c2,011$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x466c…e633backed Over44c1,975$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aa8…652ebacked Under54c1,957$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf15b…0dc3backed Over44c1,922$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27b2…98c8backed Over44c1,922$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb992…0849backed Over44c1,915$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70d6…e8f1backed Over46c1,913$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fd1…ddefbacked Over46c1,911$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dae…a5a2backed Under56c1,844$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f05…379dbacked Over46c1,826$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cd0…3a5fbacked Over44c1,810$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc0…dab6backed Under56c1,800$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d8a…dee1backed Under54c1,760$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a4a…300cbacked Under56c1,730$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28a1…7e77backed Over44c1,709$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fc4…6431backed Over44c1,698$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9644…546cbacked Under56c1,658$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcda5…fbc9backed Over44c1,617$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0efe…aab2backed Over46c1,605$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94f4…ffbebacked Over46c1,575$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd53…43f5backed Under56c1,554$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd03a…cb72backed Over46c1,516$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc1b…13d0backed Under56c1,364$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Under54c1,331$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.2648751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Over45c1,300$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5856258.1%36 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over45c1,244$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.82,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over46c1,134$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.517850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over44c1,026$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.028,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c981.54$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.064,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under53c921.05$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.383,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over45c851.3$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.043,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe33f…eed7backed Over49c839$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.113943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7dc…4e6dbacked Over46c741$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over49c714.29$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over48c505$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.621,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over41c450.82$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.846,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5784…6788backed Over47c435.19$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.41323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-52.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under53c426.19$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.311,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Under59c423.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.739558.9%56 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Under56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17614059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8895452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over52c347.75$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18016347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over46c321.49$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.72,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x852f…3aaebacked Over18c239$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.928348.2%40 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8895047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a43…3898backed Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c173.05$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.995,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Over49c144.14$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6313554.1%73 W · 62 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under54c141.22$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.961,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over45c130.15$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5739943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over45c125$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5523651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over47c123.22$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7858450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over44c119.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.225138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c117.76$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.069,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Under53c105$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7532148.3%155 W · 166 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e3…2e82backed Under59c100.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.993345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Over49c100.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1414647.9%70 W · 76 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4895548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Under55c75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7522456.3%126 W · 98 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83fe…23d9backed Over49c72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.285036%18 W · 32 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8fe0…0d09backed Under52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed Over45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over47c62.19$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4978648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.