TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-18.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Knicks, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$484,185

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $484,185 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 499 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x59a0…9a09backed Nets50c79,822$39,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,910.913560%21 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks50c57,542$28,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,675.021,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Knicks50c29,000$14,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,50039842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Nets50c20,489$10,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,244.5387144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Knicks47c16,556$7,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,781.3211335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf502…436bbacked Nets52c14,734$7,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,072.32580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+71.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9da3…cae9backed Nets52c11,686$6,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,609.285100%5 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks50c11,373$5,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,677.934,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Nets54c10,805$5,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,970.211,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b03…bdc3backed Knicks48c10,717$5,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,144.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+62.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dad…5676backed Nets52c10,564$5,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,070.72580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick38cpaid+69.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd667…5d2cbacked Nets52c10,543$5,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,060.645100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa729…9326backed Knicks48c9,945$4,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,773.754949%24 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc798…da20backed Nets52c9,554$4,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,585.921080%8 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+64.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Nets51c9,000$4,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,410.58153.1%43 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc503…9cbcbacked Nets52c8,771$4,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,210.087100%7 W · 0 L+3.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1579…a551backed Nets52c8,458$4,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,059.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf02…76bdbacked Nets52c7,542$3,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,620.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks48c7,489$3,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,596.729,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Nets53c6,675$3,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,138.11,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1132…f8f5backed Nets52c6,429$3,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,085.92666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89ba…a850backed Nets52c6,167$3,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,960.16862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8741…a155backed Nets52c5,685$2,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,728.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa186…5e6bbacked Knicks48c5,462$2,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,621.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Knicks45c5,112$2,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,305.52,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeda6…ca21backed Nets52c5,105$2,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,450.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+44.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x499f…7c54backed Nets52c4,950$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,376366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Knicks47c4,929$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3204535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4991…0695backed Knicks48c4,923$2,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,363.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe119…1b4dbacked Nets52c4,904$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,353.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+50.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x532e…8a9fbacked Nets52c4,848$2,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,327.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50a8…c523backed Nets52c4,829$2,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,317.924100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcdd1…9d1bbacked Knicks48c4,808$2,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,307.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27cd…c619backed Knicks48c4,800$2,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,304250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefc5…dc5dbacked Knicks48c4,798$2,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,303.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdadc…6a57backed Nets52c4,795$2,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,301.6966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Nets54c4,783$2,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.9930446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab2a…2673backed Knicks48c4,762$2,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,285.76540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bf5…8beabacked Knicks48c4,748$2,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2189…ebd0backed Knicks48c4,703$2,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,257.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44d7…697dbacked Knicks48c4,700$2,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,256333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa79…9235backed Nets52c4,698$2,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x646c…847bbacked Nets52c4,696$2,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b62…8f9fbacked Nets52c4,618$2,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7877…b869backed Nets52c4,565$2,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,191.24100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf089…ceb8backed Nets52c4,561$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc6…e293backed Nets52c4,558$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,187.84862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57f0…7182backed Nets52c4,548$2,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,183.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b8c…d55cbacked Nets52c4,531$2,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,174.885100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e83…f5c5backed Nets52c4,479$2,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.92862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8de…ab92backed Nets52c4,439$2,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,130.724100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4ee…5bafbacked Nets52c4,427$2,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,124.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe327…f384backed Nets52c4,425$2,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,124366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a1d…3178backed Nets52c4,414$2,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,118.724100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfa5…79ccbacked Nets52c4,393$2,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,108.644100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f33…db5ebacked Nets52c4,393$2,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,108.64450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9441…91a1backed Nets52c4,377$2,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa206…1ff5backed Nets52c4,358$2,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ce9…9297backed Knicks48c4,318$2,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,072.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76e1…6537backed Knicks48c4,290$2,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,059.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf937…08b3backed Nets52c4,217$2,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ef…ff68backed Nets52c4,189$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Knicks47c4,166$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,974.1317050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4b7…60c6backed Nets52c4,146$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,990.08580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32c2…5639backed Nets52c4,121$2,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.08450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7960…5f91backed Knicks48c4,014$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Knicks50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00024252.5%127 W · 115 L+18.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x64d6…31e2backed Nets52c3,994$2,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,917.12450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe95c…7d53backed Nets52c3,988$2,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,914.241070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+46.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Nets51c3,855$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.1824942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Nets51c3,700$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,81366250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce3a…e3bfbacked Nets52c3,394$1,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.121070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+71.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Nets50c3,237$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.661,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb031…2423backed Knicks48c3,027$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.96333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Knicks46c3,025$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.421,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4539…242abacked Knicks48c2,977$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4ec…50bdbacked Knicks48c2,912$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa134…2ecbbacked Knicks48c2,829$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x293c…8745backed Knicks48c2,755$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1af…9d53backed Nets51c2,745$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07d7…cb5abacked Nets51c2,745$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbd4…78f8backed Knicks48c2,733$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.841181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.32per pick49cpaid+64.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks39c2,722$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.968,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa15e…d627backed Knicks48c2,704$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d5c…dc14backed Knicks48c2,668$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5b3…1663backed Knicks48c2,661$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.28728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x796a…1d4dbacked Knicks48c2,563$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16c7…5ac7backed Knicks48c2,540$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4499…f292backed Knicks48c2,492$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bd1…840dbacked Knicks48c2,437$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f88…98debacked Knicks48c2,429$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa29e…6e29backed Knicks48c2,385$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.8425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-51.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59e…e06dbacked Knicks48c2,363$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f2…af53backed Nets52c2,327$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+43.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x851d…5f70backed Knicks48c2,319$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.12771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+47.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x71b3…7c0cbacked Nets52c2,266$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.68450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x054d…d38cbacked Knicks48c2,246$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a0…b536backed Nets52c2,241$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.68862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nets52c2,221$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.984,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8487…e8bfbacked Knicks48c2,171$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.