NBA · resolved market
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48c628877af63791c4b3b419571be422a0a3f7024739a2c98e2d339af30012ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,428 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa959…6a33backed Yes | 25c | 744.04$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.85 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 74c | 510.56$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.62 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 75c | 379.28$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.23 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10b…9885backed Yes | 34c | 157.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Yes | 35c | 153.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d5…1c75backed No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…e854backed Yes | 26c | 152.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 36cpaid | +131%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5074…c61abacked Yes | 25c | 135$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Yes | 24c | 119$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79b4…c59fbacked No | 66c | 118.15$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Yes | 35c | 101.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.13 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked No | 76c | 88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 270 | 59.6%161 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 75c | 75.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…798abacked No | 57c | 73.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Yes | 41c | 61.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9023…1143backed Yes | 26c | 58.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 54c | 58.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed No | 76c | 46.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 76c | 41.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed No | 72c | 40.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed No | 66c | 39.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed No | 74c | 39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 302 | 56.6%171 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…4f81backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x376d…bc1bbacked No | 68c | 29.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed No | 77c | 17.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93e…96eabacked No | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Nets won
- Drake Powell: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. NetsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Knicks vs. Nets: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Nets: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Under won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-17.5)Nets won
- Spread: Knicks (-18.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.