TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$437,201

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $437,201 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c84,535$39,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,453.184,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under53c71,529$37,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,618.5860351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under52c69,230$35,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,338.5532653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under54c50,523$27,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,240.521,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under52c50,135$26,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,901.9443542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over47c43,190$20,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,137.8454539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over47c30,003$14,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,188.121,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over47c17,498$8,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,270.751,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c16,142$7,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,612.999,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over47c16,016$7,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,589.0831643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over50c14,765$7,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,3664456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under51c13,000$6,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,369.9658449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c12,661$6,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,171.112,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Over47c8,466$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00016640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe33f…eed7backed Over48c5,810$2,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,788.793943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c5,492$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,610.154,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over47c5,400$2,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,551.43,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c5,331$2,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,508.992,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under54c4,630$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.621,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under54c4,577$2,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,107.0458953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4473…4605backed Over48c4,553$2,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,185.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over49c4,313$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,103.8734851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over47c4,250$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Under53c4,247$2,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,983.8127455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over48c4,221$2,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,025.9925049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over47c3,708$1,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,742.7637747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over49c3,446$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.822,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under53c3,414$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.3471654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over50c3,406$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702.121,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Under53c3,254$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.937948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under53c2,757$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.591,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under53c2,639$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.916,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c2,036$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.672,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under54c1,900$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88225155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Over48c1,667$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8008647.7%41 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over47c1,595$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.6558347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Over47c1,446$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.710651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Under54c1,430$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.8741947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over49c1,420$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69670246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over48c1,393$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.641,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over35c1,361$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.988,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1632…cb68backed Over46c1,309$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.135040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over48c1,225$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.752,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c1,191$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.442,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under57c1,160$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.826553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c1,097$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.73,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over48c1,043$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.6454443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc14f…7d8dbacked Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Under54c969.34$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.3648751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under51c960.1$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.4323147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over47c959.69$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.933,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over47c900.43$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.224151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over48c900$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4321,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over47c851.27$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over48c702.96$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.432,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Under54c695.99$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.5830453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Under60c686.16$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.120963.2%132 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over52c674$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.4831354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over48c583.33$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over48c580$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.41,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c559.78$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.14,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under54c542.05$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.5157650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa070…1af3backed Under53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.73745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under54c442$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.1526756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb145…df85backed Over47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under54c418.12$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.7989853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Under53c417.17$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.0722552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under48c416$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.871,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under53c415$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.0523850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Under54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18414059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Over49c393.88$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1939952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Under54c380.33$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.9518648.9%91 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Over48c360.01$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.89242.4%39 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a0d…82c9backed Under53c342$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.746949.3%34 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Over36c338.73$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5415038%57 W · 93 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over48c337.5$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16240146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Over47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under53c318.53$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.7365349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Under54c304$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0814452.1%75 W · 69 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14145646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Over48c270$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.613155%72 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Under54c244.82$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.6831354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under54c234.82$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9189048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under71c233.22$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.811,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over49c203.91$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9539943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x695c…85ddbacked Under54c201.61$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.741855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over48c200$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9533949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over48c191$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6877549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under52c190.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6516947.3%80 W · 89 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Over49c182$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1813352.6%70 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Under53c157$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7913950.4%70 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x852f…3aaebacked Over25c153$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.258348.2%40 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8884…0d12backed Under51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.52556%14 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x890a…1da7backed Over49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.53053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under51c144.82$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.961,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Over45c141$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4513148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over48c133.54$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.142352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c3…6031backed Under53c124.7$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.543145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over47c119.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.825138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.