TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Nets: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$383,603

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $383,603 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c183,536$95,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95,16387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c146,829$70,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,295.694,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under47c86,549$40,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,871.1426253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over53c50,000$26,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,495.9616346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under48c33,393$15,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,530.6943542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c30,000$15,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,009.211,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f45…a321backed Over53c30,000$15,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,9001540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over50c12,952$6,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,475.9666248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under50c12,839$6,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,419.531643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00016640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under49c8,616$4,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,425.4238253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…eed7backed Under49c7,678$3,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,940.683943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c7,122$3,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,693.19,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under50c6,000$3,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,98048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over52c5,741$2,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,982.91,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over53c5,660$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00012844.5%57 W · 71 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c3,649$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,824.794,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under50c3,200$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c2,589$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.362,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00017349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under47c1,744$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.582,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over52c1,614$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.532,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under50c1,333$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.730446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c1,165$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.873,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over51c687.94$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.213,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under50c665.92$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.961,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed Under48c555.61$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.926342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over52c554.36$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.292,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Over50c480.76$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.3822154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Over53c400.5$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.0220651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under49c396.5$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.365349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over51c278.56$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5489048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under49c275.07$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.2955347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under48c205.69$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.9622746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under50c199.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10095047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Under48c190.31$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3111855.1%65 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under50c182.26$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2618055%99 W · 81 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under48c157$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6423850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x927f…b921backed Over53c135.6$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4612446.8%58 W · 66 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Under52c127.66$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6615253.3%81 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under48c127.51$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.391148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd11a…09eebacked Under50c122.72$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7210656.6%60 W · 46 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under50c119.76$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8839943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9175…bd29backed Over53c111.38$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.033060%18 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over53c107.14$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7351438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3866046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under47c106.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.31,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Under54c102.1$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.113751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5097049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x852f…3aaebacked Over40c97$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.418348.2%40 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Under51c95.37$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3715453.2%82 W · 72 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over51c93.8$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.811,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Under48c93.75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.751346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under48c87.35$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.129455.3%52 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under48c87$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2453945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a4…65c3backed Under48c86.15$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.57256.9%41 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under48c84.11$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4521753%115 W · 102 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under48c84.11$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4517155.6%95 W · 76 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under48c83.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2589853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd8…f9e3backed Under48c83.38$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.076258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a22…9f35backed Over15c81.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.162630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under47c77.89$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2855846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Under48c74.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3922456.3%126 W · 98 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Under48c70.1$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2118250%91 W · 91 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c68.34$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5442853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fae…d503backed Under48c63.92$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2410452.9%55 W · 49 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Under50c63.31$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6637665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Over50c58.92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4613554.1%73 W · 62 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under47c55.77$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5648852%254 W · 234 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under50c54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.961,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x341b…b92cbacked Over50c52.6$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.38344.6%37 W · 46 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.081,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510349.5%51 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2647852.9%253 W · 225 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over51c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8467248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under50c45.93$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9764844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x666f…9860backed Under48c45.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.666055%33 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under48c44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8826756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcaca…a0b6backed Over52c42.72$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.213225%8 W · 24 L-7.9wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-52%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x02f5…5c6cbacked Under48c42.56$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.986753.7%36 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6846…a82fbacked Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.672437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68e6…ad34backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+134.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5886…b8ffbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204634.8%16 W · 30 L-8.0wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-37.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2021952.5%115 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133e…1bb9backed Under48c34.3$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under50c31.86$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9391746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70f5…f924backed Under48c31.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.04837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81ae…3615backed Under48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.64341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.71,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under49c25.03$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.681,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed Under48c21.02$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8610456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed Under48c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9215947.8%76 W · 83 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a37…180cbacked Over51c20.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.353452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.