TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,583

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,583 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under0c4,110$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.661,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Under48c2,224$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.4546149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.083447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x897a…1495backed Over47c1,071$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.052657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Over51c984.16$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.1619351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c978.34$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.693,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Under60c859.25$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.558951.7%46 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under49c832.86$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.871,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under1c700$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102150.9%2 W · 213 L-1.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under40c645.4$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.9425934%88 W · 171 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under50c606.47$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.2417849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95f0…67c9backed Under51c530$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.32347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7e4…2a20backed Over48c530$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.62334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under50c426.06$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.0324846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xecc9…4df4backed Over51c393.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.262744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe71…e854backed Under38c346.27$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under50c339.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1703043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed Under60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027556.4%155 W · 120 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3488…54c2backed Over49c307.85$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1214856.1%83 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under50c275.32$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6683652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over69c264.99$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.081,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Over48c248.81$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.483,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…7287backed Over50c201.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0410541%43 W · 62 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under51c199.93$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.971,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Over54c197.81$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.964,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Over53c190.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2416853.6%90 W · 78 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over41c186.12$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.453,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7d1…ba29backed Under50c162.16$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0810139.6%40 W · 61 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Under54c156.58$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.672,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c153$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.921,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Over50c125.32$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6612954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…b0a5backed Over44c123.88$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.882152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd68d…1f62backed Over48c115.9$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6425446.1%117 W · 137 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4de…0da4backed Under67c106.61$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4333960.8%206 W · 133 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6840…12c1backed Over50c101.16$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.582236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-43.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5025941.3%107 W · 152 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5522757.3%130 W · 97 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7cd…ef38backed Over41c99.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x850b…5493backed Under49c99.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.992050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Under61c99.83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4819362.2%120 W · 73 L-16.0wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-12.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under36c92$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4945224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xde7f…d8dbbacked Over41c90.24$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2420744%91 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Under54c90$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.81,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb83f…b17ebacked Over50c88$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4424249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0010…c3a8backed Over51c79.82$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1131673.7%233 W · 83 L+23.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+10.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb898…151cbacked Under52c76.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7510353.4%55 W · 48 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-16.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd31a…28f5backed Over52c67.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.477342.5%31 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe6d…9d6abacked Under59c67.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.78047.5%38 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec3b…fbabbacked Over40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.54660.9%28 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.681246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Over52c57.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.98459.5%50 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2336…74f3backed Under54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6055…c9dcbacked Over50c52.74$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.373450%17 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under45c52.55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4737339.7%148 W · 225 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2b…8775backed Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0228556.8%162 W · 123 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2566753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under52c48.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0560451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5541…f1e3backed Over51c47.06$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0619150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x398f…5ababacked Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.823050%15 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.834742.9%149 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2056454.3%306 W · 258 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f22…9d96backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205450%27 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9833…1e38backed Over50c39.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.652470.8%17 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa870…9f19backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2211350.4%57 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b08…c2b7backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe303…401abacked Under50c37.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4910447.1%49 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under53c33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.655,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb760…0be8backed Over49c32.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.652450%12 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under54c31.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.912,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1533456.6%189 W · 145 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under41c29.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9687244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd972…c9f4backed Over44c28.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.798959.6%53 W · 36 L+11.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+34%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x52fe…c258backed Over56c27.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.972763%17 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Under58c25.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.674542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Under56c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.449940.4%40 W · 59 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under56c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4431440.1%126 W · 188 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb972…105abacked Over51c23.14$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.343348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Over48c22.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9254543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Under51c20.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5915056%84 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd366…c942backed Over53c20.58$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ed3…655abacked Under51c20.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbb2…2bb3backed Over51c20.2$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.98764.4%56 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick67cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x167d…862abacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105170.6%36 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.