CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe898b4d37fef154f4dc8e178b51fa72a8679744cfef757760729a2a6f7a7754b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $474,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $474,752 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a25…3c70backed Natus Vincere | 0c | 55,675$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.71 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 23,602$4,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,918.37 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,799.97 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 66c | 16,626$10,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.62 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 10,445$5,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,141.92 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 10,001$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.02 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…ed88backed Team Falcons | 56c | 9,907$5,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,359.14 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 8,362$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,362.15 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 7,426$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.85 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…5972backed Team Falcons | 53c | 6,270$3,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.08 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 6,262$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 15c | 6,002$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Falcons | 56c | 5,711$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.84 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Team Falcons | 55c | 5,050$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.35 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 5,000$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.26 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Falcons | 68c | 4,806$3,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.15 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 4,637$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.84 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 3,548$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.13 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons | 55c | 3,535$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.64 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 3,150$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.62 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…0956backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 3,051$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.8 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 2,758$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.5 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 2,706$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.55 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x135b…2c6dbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 2,491$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 2,179$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Team Falcons | 56c | 2,168$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.41 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b9…0eddbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 2,100$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.81 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,957$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.5 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 1,903$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.38 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 1,771$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.93 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 1,766$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.91 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 1,754$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.01 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,750$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.45 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,750$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.42 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 1,500$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.61 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Falcons | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 1,250$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,241$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,200$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.43 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,200$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.99 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 1,134$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.72 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Team Falcons | 76c | 1,115$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.55 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,058$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.8 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Team Falcons | 57c | 1,030$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.23 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,028$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.06 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 69c | 988.62$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.87 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Team Falcons | 56c | 930.43$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.39 | 177 | 61%108 W · 69 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 916.1$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 866.64$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.7 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Team Falcons | 73c | 798.11$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.57 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 785.88$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.86 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Team Falcons | 66c | 753.13$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.13 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 700$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 670$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.4 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 639.89$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.62 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…f839backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 636.36$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 607.38$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.38 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 556.49$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.67 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed Team Falcons | 56c | 528.57$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.57 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 501.11$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.1 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 241 | 34.4%83 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5664backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…7307backed Team Falcons | 79c | 498.92$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.44 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 74c | 469.69$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.12 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Falcons | 56c | 467.86$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.86 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 457.73$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.86 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 440$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 411.31$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 400$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 392.84$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Natus Vincere | 15c | 390.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Team Falcons | 56c | 382.14$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.14 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a74…9694backed Team Falcons | 70c | 365.75$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.72 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 349.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 349.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed Team Falcons | 58c | 342.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.26 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 341.46$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 337.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…44a3backed Team Falcons | 54c | 335.14$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.16 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…4bc0backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Team Falcons | 54c | 333$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.18 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 330.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Team Falcons | 64c | 323.41$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.83 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Team Falcons | 76c | 305.74$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 299.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 285.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 603 | 58.5%353 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 271$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 258.69$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.91 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293a…25aebacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 255.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 252.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…f042backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group ANatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.