CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd70f660170b4833eb264dd5ce1cd9f65610607c7746d49c340bd15ff31b5e060
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Team Falcons, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $436,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $436,216 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 40,000$23,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,599.97 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 8,958$5,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,211.57 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 7,361$3,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,597.68 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 7,043$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,055.12 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab80…ffc0backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 6,073$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,972.89 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…ed88backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 5,930$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,230.24 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf394…cdb1backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 4,858$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.79 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 4,376$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.07 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 3,659$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.13 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Team Falcons | 62c | 3,240$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 3,214$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.64 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…f85fbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 3,197$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.06 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 2,868$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 2,838$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.3 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Team Falcons | 1c | 2,696$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 133 | 15.8%21 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 2,494$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.35 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 2,435$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.33 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Team Falcons | 49c | 2,432$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.84 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 2,258$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.48 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 2,180$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.36 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Team Falcons | 7c | 2,113$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Falcons | 63c | 2,100$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.98 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 2,051$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.57 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 2,049$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.24 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,879$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.89 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Team Falcons | 55c | 1,819$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,810$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.58 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,779$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.37 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,669$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.67 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,657$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.22 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…d3b8backed Team Falcons | 62c | 1,622$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,553$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.1 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,500$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.48 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Team Falcons | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Falcons | 62c | 1,500$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.46 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 1,438$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,388$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.87 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,333$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.47 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,317$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.09 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,270$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,260$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.62 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Team Falcons | 61c | 1,257$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.34 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…e49ebacked Team Falcons | 61c | 1,230$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.3 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,185$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.08 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Team Falcons | 54c | 1,150$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.9 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Team Falcons | 22c | 1,126$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,082$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.6 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons | 14c | 1,057$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.02 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,026$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.84 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,007$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.73 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9012…cb82backed Team Falcons | 57c | 1,000$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Team Falcons | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 985.68$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.68 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 955.65$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.27 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 950.98$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.92 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 55c | 842.54$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.22 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…a297backed Team Falcons | 14c | 800.43$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.93 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…a265backed Team Falcons | 63c | 795.24$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 189 | 43.9%83 W · 106 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 776.52$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.27 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Team Falcons | 22c | 772$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.84 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 767.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.82 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 766.72$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.26 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Team Falcons | 15c | 733.72$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Team Falcons | 29c | 700$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.65 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Team Falcons | 2c | 700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Team Falcons | 2c | 699.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 690.98$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.59 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 29c | 674.14$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.86 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 656.24$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Team Falcons | 11c | 638.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa5…05bbbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 626.94$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.86 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b2…ce61backed Team Falcons | 62c | 624.99$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.25 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 606.64$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.73 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 570$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…4fb2backed Team Falcons | 62c | 568.74$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.62 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Team Falcons | 50c | 550.06$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.79 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Team Falcons | 53c | 538.42$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa69…6e45backed Team Falcons | 58c | 530$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…62aabacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 530$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.7 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 520.66$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.73 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Team Falcons | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 320 | 42.5%136 W · 184 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Team Falcons | 21c | 484.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Team Falcons | 61c | 480$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.4 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Team Falcons | 63c | 477.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…6e14backed Team Falcons | 53c | 469.99$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.1 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Team Falcons | 56c | 462.77$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.85 | 230 | 57%131 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…be98backed Team Falcons | 58c | 460$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.8 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81fb…74a4backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 460$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed Team Falcons | 55c | 456.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…f839backed Team Falcons | 46c | 456.52$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Team Falcons | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group ANatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.