NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x513d477887137222c990b329c2299770280dc88c385df8f0dca66365ddb298e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,351 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 26,841$12,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,347.08 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 18,091$9,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,320.47 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Over | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 54c | 1,031$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.39 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Over | 51c | 1,010$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.9 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 1,004$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.82 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 54c | 769.32$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.55 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Over | 54c | 587.75$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.12 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 56c | 515.19$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.04 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 54c | 419.35$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.9 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…0feebacked Over | 54c | 398.5$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.31 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -6.8wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 54c | 381.37$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.43 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…1af9backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…3898backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…d8adbacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 54c | 197.04$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.64 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x003d…56b3backed Over | 54c | 190.74$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.74 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…fbedbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 45c | 88.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfc…0a65backed Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 54c | 59.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Over | 54c | 46.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Over | 54c | 36.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 180 | 60.6%109 W · 71 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Over | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 63c | 31.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…7eb8backed Over | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…0be8backed Over | 54c | 26.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Over | 54c | 23.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…6dd8backed Over | 53c | 19.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Over | 72c | 16.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. Kings76ers won
- 76ers vs. Kings: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 225.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 226.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
- Justin Edwards: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Malik Monk: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)76ers won
- VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.