NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb81cdec6455d004d9e6ce99cf3566a026eb266282e1d4579a165cb47c3c4dda2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,611 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 47c | 40,809$19,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,670.78 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 14,947$7,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,942.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 12,565$6,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,660.05 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 3,472$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.58 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 53c | 3,294$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.82 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 1,791$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.38 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 54c | 1,718$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.65 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 53c | 1,302$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.17 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 53c | 1,009$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Under | 55c | 909.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.31 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 53c | 767.4$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.55 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 53c | 699.74$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.86 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Under | 54c | 664$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.56 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 72c | 509.15$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.56 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 53c | 366.18$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.08 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 257.42$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.08 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Under | 54c | 188.89$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 52c | 150.15$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.08 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 28c | 123.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 53c | 116.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.38 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 54c | 98.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 45c | 97.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Under | 28c | 94.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…1cdebacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Under | 53c | 72.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b2…4951backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 47c | 49.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a8…b182backed Under | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb178…1fa0backed Under | 52c | 38.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 48c | 33.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…8c6cbacked Over | 47c | 29.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 57c | 25.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 54c | 23.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Over | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd777…daf8backed Under | 60c | 20.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9df8…8206backed Under | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 71c | 14.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. Kings76ers won
- 76ers vs. Kings: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 225.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 226.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
- Justin Edwards: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Malik Monk: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)76ers won
- VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.