NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Kings: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11b0d2cb77d77aae7b503e072b438757e90f87fee6e21d61cb7473c0b8b70dee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,087 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 56c | 29,315$16,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,979.34 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 46c | 9,000$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,139.99 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 8,771$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,933.22 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 8,344$3,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,686.21 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 29c | 4,124$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.35 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 79c | 2,550$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.72 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 51c | 1,735$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.75 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 44c | 1,245$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.25 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 939.37$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.32 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 19c | 850.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Over | 52c | 380$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 43c | 332.77$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.42 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 44c | 320$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Under | 46c | 258.76$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.03 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 21c | 236.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…4ec1backed Over | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Under | 19c | 176.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 70c | 171.4$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Under | 14c | 161.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 54c | 157.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fc…9728backed Over | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Under | 42c | 99.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9882…6a79backed Under | 43c | 81.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…077cbacked Over | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Over | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 148 | 58.1%86 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1911…ebf8backed Over | 55c | 55.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 41c | 46.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 49c | 42.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 54c | 41.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 80c | 38.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d6…281ebacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 80c | 33.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c3…e26dbacked Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Over | 57c | 25.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 49c | 24.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Over | 57c | 24.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 53c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd55…5582backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. Kings76ers won
- 76ers vs. Kings: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 226.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
- Justin Edwards: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Malik Monk: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)76ers won
- VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.