TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,848

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,848 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1813…4dfebacked Kings0c11,400$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.439943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Kings50c6,319$3,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,139.841,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Kings54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e72…0a05backed 76ers46c4,331$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,338.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Kings54c4,271$2,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,306.256646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed 76ers55c3,800$2,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.062,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers46c3,438$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.849,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed 76ers49c2,925$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.833,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings46c2,541$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.024,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings53c2,218$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.234,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 76ers52c2,081$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.052,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Kings53c1,570$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.369149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed 76ers46c1,527$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.6638750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers45c1,333$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.152,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Kings55c1,152$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.61,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Kings54c1,111$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5205,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b2d…a88dbacked Kings54c832$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.286439.1%25 W · 39 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Kings41c797.23$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.3851438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked 76ers47c745$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.8531354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed 76ers47c722$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.661,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Kings53c719.12$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.1374748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers55c618.91$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.238,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cca…6f28backed Kings59c583.05$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Kings22c493.14$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8226337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed 76ers48c467.5$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.453,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Kings43c437.65$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.5742153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed 76ers68c436.32$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.6220638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed 76ers47c407.42$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.931,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers47c370.37$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.294,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Kings54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed 76ers51c340$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.65644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed 76ers46c326.36$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.025,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed 76ers47c313.51$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.9445151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed 76ers47c310.54$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.453,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked 76ers47c308.45$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.4819650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed 76ers70c285.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3643269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings52c284.34$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.694,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked 76ers47c266.44$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.2158450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe2…5981backed Kings38c248.7$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.014645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Kings44c242.09$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.532,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed 76ers46c219.22$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.381,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked 76ers47c215.82$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.632,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed 76ers47c201.43$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7619543.1%84 W · 111 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x16e1…d17abacked Kings33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662544%11 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked Kings52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011833.9%40 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Kings52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Kings54c185.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed 76ers54c179.15$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.961,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed 76ers56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5728949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed 76ers46c160$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.495548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed 76ers46c149.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.553339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed 76ers49c147.75$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.353,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Kings52c140.6$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.112,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked 76ers47c136.16$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.312,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Kings54c129.63$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7021743.8%95 W · 122 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf002…05eebacked Kings58c106.03$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed 76ers47c100.29$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.663,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Kings35c100.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.761,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed 76ers80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.292,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x850b…5493backed 76ers48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked 76ers48c87$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2477549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked 76ers47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.454951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked 76ers47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.487049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked 76ers66c71.72$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4114054.3%76 W · 64 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Kings20c71.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.286637.9%25 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked 76ers47c66.87$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4444747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Kings42c65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.453,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Kings54c62.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3450648%243 W · 263 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Kings57c61.57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9555751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked 76ers78c56$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0876653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Kings54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2737549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b69…e65dbacked Kings46c43.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Kings51c41.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1711355.8%63 W · 50 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Kings53c41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7338252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11f1…8a2cbacked Kings49c39.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.44922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-55.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x50fd…ee77backed Kings52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013852.2%72 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed 76ers65c38.4$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4418052.2%94 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Kings54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035551.3%182 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e8…c0e2backed 76ers65c34.89$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.213865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+29.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe164…acfebacked 76ers48c32.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.996850%34 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Kings38c32.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1814858.1%86 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked 76ers66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.238540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ebb…1e6bbacked 76ers49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1612161.2%74 W · 47 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0dda…2d60backed Kings52c29.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x367b…a306backed 76ers50c28.2$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.23259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8058…4cc3backed Kings61c27.87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174852.1%25 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Kings49c27.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6349249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2115…80ccbacked 76ers48c27.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.461233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70fb…d507backed 76ers66c26.34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.051952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd86…b634backed Kings54c26.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.024240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Kings54c25.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1459948.4%290 W · 309 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07c9…9f5bbacked Kings54c25.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1425150.6%127 W · 124 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3612…cf99backed 76ers57c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.126163.9%39 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbbe8…6dd8backed 76ers46c25.72$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.891330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5b8…a279backed Kings56c25.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.125242.3%22 W · 30 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Kings49c24.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.141,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked 76ers53c21.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.224269%29 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+18%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed 76ers47c21.72$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4591746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x079c…a211backed 76ers63c20.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.792661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.