NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac5952168878e9d4a7954ae9db0b834d1d051e95dd5a852fa6508170c1bbc5fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof 76ers, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,129 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed 76ers | 51c | 3,784$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.3 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed 76ers | 41c | 3,750$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.58 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Kings | 59c | 3,066$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.76 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 48c | 2,208$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.6 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 76ers | 58c | 1,728$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kings | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kings | 48c | 1,348$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.44 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed 76ers | 58c | 878.36$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.82 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings | 56c | 821.64$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.63 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Kings | 56c | 568$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.08 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed 76ers | 44c | 568$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.08 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Kings | 43c | 461.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Kings | 35c | 442$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked 76ers | 44c | 320$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Kings | 46c | 313.24$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.88 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked 76ers | 43c | 309.55$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.44 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked 76ers | 45c | 256.07$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.32 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…1f08backed Kings | 46c | 247.09$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.16 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kings | 49c | 221.34$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.56 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Kings | 47c | 213.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed 76ers | 42c | 199.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Kings | 45c | 187.22$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…242dbacked 76ers | 56c | 178.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Kings | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked 76ers | 43c | 164.51$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.49 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked 76ers | 44c | 160$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 49c | 154.58$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed 76ers | 52c | 147.66$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.88 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed 76ers | 44c | 147.09$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.68 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Kings | 56c | 143.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kings | 55c | 140.05$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.03 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked 76ers | 66c | 138.84$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked 76ers | 47c | 134.04$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers | 44c | 116.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked 76ers | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed 76ers | 44c | 104$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked 76ers | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…a103backed 76ers | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed 76ers | 43c | 99.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x905c…14b5backed Kings | 42c | 95.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Kings | 39c | 92.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Kings | 55c | 92.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Kings | 42c | 90.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca8…ddddbacked Kings | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 278 | 46.8%130 W · 148 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…c2e0backed 76ers | 62c | 80.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Kings | 36c | 80.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked 76ers | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked 76ers | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked 76ers | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…8533backed 76ers | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Kings | 51c | 66.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Kings | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Kings | 59c | 58.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed 76ers | 47c | 56.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Kings | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Kings | 46c | 41.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 192 | 45.3%87 W · 105 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed 76ers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked 76ers | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf9…dde4backed 76ers | 56c | 36.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe927…1b09backed Kings | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…0e08backed Kings | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Kings | 47c | 31.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked 76ers | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed 76ers | 44c | 27.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kings | 46c | 26.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8870…72a2backed Kings | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked 76ers | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked 76ers | 48c | 20.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 213 | 49.3%105 W · 108 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed 76ers | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…a1f3backed Kings | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. Kings76ers won
- 76ers vs. Kings: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 225.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 226.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
- Justin Edwards: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Malik Monk: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
- VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.