TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$288,768
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$288,753

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,768 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 402 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd64…7445backed Over48c27,800$13,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,4563366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f68…7995backed Over48c9,736$4,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,062.72875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+56.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c09…a631backed Under52c9,403$4,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,889.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+46.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e4f…4c77backed Under52c8,908$4,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,632.16757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4076…3a79backed Under52c8,306$4,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,319.12475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x272d…38d2backed Under52c7,740$4,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,024.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc18f…a78bbacked Over48c6,827$3,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,550.04862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0be9…a2edbacked Over48c5,919$2,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,077.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+68.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7e0…3c0abacked Under52c5,728$2,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,978.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+58.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef0a…39e1backed Under52c5,597$2,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,910.44475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+58.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dad…5676backed Over48c5,493$2,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,856.36580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick38cpaid+69.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2d9…3a30backed Over48c5,481$2,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,850.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c7…3b6abacked Under52c5,368$2,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,791.36475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+59.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5f7…2ed3backed Over48c5,349$2,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,781.485100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x40fd…3b44backed Under52c5,275$2,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,743475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+65.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4966…ae6abacked Under52c5,175$2,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,691475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+66.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b03…bdc3backed Over48c5,144$2,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,674.88475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+62.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a18…b079backed Under52c4,904$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,550.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa240…a517backed Under52c4,824$2,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,508.48475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+59.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d12…590ebacked Over48c4,753$2,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,471.567100%7 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x753a…422bbacked Under52c4,728$2,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,458.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aea…da08backed Under52c4,680$2,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,433.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x189e…1aa5backed Under52c4,643$2,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,414.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fd…aa69backed Under52c4,628$2,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,406.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+59.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe52…33e9backed Over48c4,535$2,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,358.2650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8a03…1209backed Under52c4,431$2,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,304.12450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1579…a551backed Over48c4,398$2,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,286.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58f7…0cc6backed Over48c4,373$2,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,273.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+49.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd17a…55febacked Over48c4,303$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,237.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76a1…60c2backed Over48c4,119$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,141.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over43c3,195$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,828.9243542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca8…cb82backed Over48c3,128$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff32…c965backed Under52c3,104$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaaf…6c3dbacked Over48c2,937$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.241070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x121a…1864backed Under52c2,850$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f4…1116backed Under52c2,811$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.72450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb2…7e92backed Over48c2,730$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c46…70e7backed Over48c2,684$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…cadfbacked Under52c2,661$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.72450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under57c2,495$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.46,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under42c2,493$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.813,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cb…2973backed Over48c2,471$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85f…342cbacked Over48c2,454$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.084100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1085…1f01backed Over48c2,439$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a17…2de9backed Under52c2,430$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe62e…1edabacked Over48c2,420$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6405…0715backed Under52c2,417$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ffd…db90backed Over48c2,415$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b62…8f9fbacked Over48c2,401$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3872…6b32backed Over48c2,378$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2300…321cbacked Over48c2,371$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4991…0695backed Over48c2,363$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea5…4b8ebacked Over48c2,354$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.08875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+41.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6844…4afdbacked Over48c2,342$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f83…d15bbacked Over48c2,334$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa921…4d01backed Over48c2,332$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ff6…dd15backed Over48c2,331$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e83…f5c5backed Over48c2,329$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.08862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bac…e2dbbacked Over48c2,318$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.364100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcdd1…9d1bbacked Over48c2,308$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3801…547fbacked Over48c2,300$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9327…9be2backed Over48c2,299$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dd5…8ec8backed Over48c2,299$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cae…97e8backed Over48c2,297$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a1d…3178backed Over48c2,295$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.44100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9181…bfb2backed Over48c2,295$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea7…fc7fbacked Under52c2,291$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc523…e9e5backed Over48c2,288$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb044…8c94backed Over48c2,284$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.68683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+66.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d4c…2c7cbacked Over48c2,281$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.12475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e8a…74b4backed Over48c2,275$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa52d…0694backed Over48c2,273$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b63…eefbbacked Under52c2,265$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e83…081ebacked Under52c2,264$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d7…697dbacked Over48c2,256$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.12333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3461…d7b1backed Over48c2,256$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.12333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc88f…14ffbacked Under52c2,254$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4e…c731backed Under52c2,250$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc48f…b16fbacked Over48c2,241$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.324100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5c6…b72abacked Under52c2,237$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07de…5f70backed Under52c2,237$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0b3…1eebbacked Over48c2,234$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb01a…e2f2backed Over48c2,233$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.16450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ed1…ad13backed Under52c2,226$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d53…0968backed Under52c2,214$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d43…d93dbacked Over48c2,212$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7995…e66cbacked Under52c2,205$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea34…179cbacked Over48c2,201$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+52.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfae0…472dbacked Under52c2,200$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbea0…06febacked Over48c2,200$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf937…08b3backed Over48c2,193$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a53…bfa6backed Under52c2,185$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ef…ff68backed Over48c2,178$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb331…e281backed Over48c2,175$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd779…7cf7backed Over48c2,171$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.92955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02cb…e6a3backed Over48c2,168$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5037…220bbacked Over48c2,162$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.24425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4b7…60c6backed Over48c2,156$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.12580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93ce…76c3backed Over48c2,154$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.08887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.37per pick50cpaid+74.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x731a…0e9ebacked Under52c2,149$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.