TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,755 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over49c30,261$14,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,409.1243542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under52c23,068$11,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,964.334,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under52c18,766$9,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,680.121,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under52c17,878$9,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,231.991,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over48c13,179$6,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,853.2438253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c8,067$4,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,195.689,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c6,170$3,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,153.484,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Over47c5,319$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.1516249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf15…76e0backed Over45c4,731$2,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Over49c4,694$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,393.8833447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0f8…12f7backed Over46c4,349$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,348.845100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c3,710$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.592,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over71c3,062$2,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.192,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under52c2,968$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,543.351,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Under51c2,646$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.251764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over49c2,286$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.7870246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Over45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.2224450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over49c2,183$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.7221943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Over46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.918647.7%41 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under28c2,017$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.138,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Under28c1,826$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.320537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over49c1,777$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.266,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under51c1,618$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82556043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bee…0ca9backed Over49c1,576$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.762454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under52c1,560$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.433,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65c5…c3f2backed Over46c1,530$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.43944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c1,245$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.464,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51053951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under51c841$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.9154443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over52c830.49$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4023,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1f3…e4a1backed Under52c618$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.362236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30032450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Over48c562.5$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.512151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb70a…caf5backed Over49c521.59$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.231266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbc…8a18backed Under51c509$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.594445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Under51c508.45$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.3122154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over71c465.57$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.0220638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under51c457$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.0771449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over45c425$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.7562744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Over46c424$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.9617644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Under51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c373.54$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.593,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over69c365.66$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.2526337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4be…a13dbacked Under51c345.1$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1763938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over47c334$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.0240146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under52c327.18$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.131,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over52c310.02$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.7127463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under33c307.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3851438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under51c296.14$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.032,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Under51c257$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0714145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3218…a011backed Under51c257$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.071010%1 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.40per pick50cpaid-80.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x9737…09c1backed Under52c250$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1294240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under54c232.71$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8777549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Under10c230.61$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.188937.1%33 W · 56 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0829345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Under51c184.2$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9413554.1%73 W · 62 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Under51c130$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.313148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb81f…2fd6backed Under52c127$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.044443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce3a…2477backed Under52c127$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.043756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Under52c126.92$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6620247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Under51c126$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2613950.4%70 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e58…fb5abacked Under52c124$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.489349.5%46 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Over45c122.22$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2213155%72 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over49c122.19$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3239943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5295548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010645.3%48 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509844.9%44 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd815…1cdebacked Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508456%47 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over48c94.03$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2178648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97d3…8acebacked Over48c93.75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.754740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over47c88.78$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.222,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under54c85.26$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2491746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over48c84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.681,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Over57c81.22$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2214858.1%86 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over49c72.86$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.163,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c01…8c6cbacked Under51c70.32$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.152437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Under19c67.56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1630224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43d6…fbedbacked Under18c66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.061764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1711354.9%62 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over49c55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.091,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Under51c53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0314753.7%79 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a96…b382backed Under52c52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.047350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed Under56c47.86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.951346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over49c43.28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1795047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over79c39.13$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1514054.3%76 W · 64 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2225…1838backed Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208652.3%45 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe2…5981backed Over75c37.89$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.474645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over78c34.19$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.373,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb178…1fa0backed Under32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over47c30.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0258450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9651…0488backed Under51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51b9…20a7backed Under51c29.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.91216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-71.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0310…4745backed Under52c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.565147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over47c25.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5318444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Over50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1132752.9%173 W · 154 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1018459.2%109 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.