TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$174,299

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,299 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 479 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73ca…8ac1backed Under58c31,835$18,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,464.442055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa729…9326backed Under58c24,500$14,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,2104949%24 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd64…7445backed Under58c16,697$9,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,6843366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x142f…ed0bbacked Under58c8,157$4,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,731.06666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff35…34e6backed Under58c6,349$3,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,682.42450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9201…17a7backed Under58c6,159$3,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,572.22560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x671e…675bbacked Under58c5,040$2,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,923.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+65.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacdf…6f37backed Under58c4,599$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,667.42757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe261…3a1fbacked Under58c4,421$2,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,564.18475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+65.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00c9…7f21backed Under58c4,157$2,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,411.06475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+59.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc89…3dc0backed Under58c4,129$2,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,394.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+58.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fac…58bdbacked Under58c4,037$2,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,341.46540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ba7…71d5backed Under58c3,975$2,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,305.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd98b…160abacked Under58c2,861$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.381163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bee…2d2ebacked Under58c2,630$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,525.4450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda85…171bbacked Under58c2,386$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9db…4dabbacked Under58c1,926$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.08450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce3…5c00backed Under58c1,899$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a68…096cbacked Under58c1,898$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62fe…1689backed Under58c1,888$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fb…f308backed Under58c1,830$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e97…43dcbacked Under58c1,784$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.72450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7a…f63abacked Under58c1,783$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43b1…aa19backed Under58c1,761$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x409c…27d1backed Under58c1,751$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc59…a28cbacked Under58c1,747$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4539…242abacked Over42c1,429$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4efc…b15dbacked Over42c1,416$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a1…0816backed Over42c1,416$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4ec…50bdbacked Over42c1,398$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8892…917abacked Over42c1,398$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa917…252dbacked Over42c1,396$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.68450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4249…e254backed Over42c1,372$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf40c…0362backed Over42c1,366$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f8…5744backed Over42c1,362$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa134…2ecbbacked Over42c1,358$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x135f…9ad4backed Over42c1,357$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.06475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+58.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f0f…c117backed Over42c1,337$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.46771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+49.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x293c…8745backed Over42c1,322$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f6b…f737backed Over42c1,317$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16a9…b3ffbacked Over42c1,292$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c16…8e89backed Over42c1,281$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.98425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5280…78e3backed Over42c1,281$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x605a…3f8abacked Over42c1,260$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+47.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9edd…a7b9backed Over42c1,258$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4306…1a38backed Over42c1,240$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f42…8973backed Over42c1,236$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+47.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x796a…1d4dbacked Over42c1,230$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa246…d3e3backed Over42c1,228$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16c7…5ac7backed Over42c1,219$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc69d…a11ebacked Over42c1,217$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f7e…78a8backed Over42c1,210$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9000…55a5backed Over42c1,184$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bd1…840dbacked Over42c1,170$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8da…ba62backed Over42c1,168$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87e3…c300backed Under58c1,167$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61b9…80f1backed Over42c1,167$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c2c…3770backed Over42c1,153$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.74560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ec2…54febacked Under58c1,141$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe59e…e06dbacked Over42c1,134$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff48…73acbacked Over42c1,130$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd058…5f70backed Under58c1,101$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x054d…d38cbacked Over42c1,078$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebb7…b09abacked Over42c1,072$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over76c1,054$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.338,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8487…e8bfbacked Over42c1,042$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc29…3606backed Over42c1,031$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe9…8287backed Over42c1,027$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc69f…1152backed Over42c1,012$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd562…0237backed Under58c1,001$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…925ebacked Over42c974$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+60.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ba5…dbf6backed Over42c971$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cd1…3815backed Under58c966$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34ef…73bebacked Under58c945$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x177d…3351backed Under58c937$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d1…fea1backed Under58c929$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xece0…107fbacked Under58c924$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd51…40b2backed Over42c889$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12c0…769bbacked Under58c882$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a4…cd83backed Under58c877$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0699…341bbacked Under58c869$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf7b…01c6backed Under58c868$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d25…55fcbacked Over42c864$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under23c858.3$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.4120638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over68c828.08$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.0865872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ad4…f98ebacked Over42c811$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f6…7fd4backed Over42c782$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6cd…144abacked Over42c729$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc28d…f060backed Over42c677.99$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x728c…e6e7backed Over42c666$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2972…9e87backed Over42c664$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under32c625.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.211,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d96…c459backed Over42c612$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x529e…1dcfbacked Over42c597$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf301…a0b9backed Over42c594$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6716…00bcbacked Over42c593$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e19…9addbacked Over42c592$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.36475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+59.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ce8…7ec5backed Over42c589$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x517d…0321backed Over42c588$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae3…9157backed Over42c588$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.