NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Kings: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9707f6f24806701d237c90ec212af7a09725d2fc6b9dca137f682c2814a73f18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,488 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 49c | 52,009$25,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,627.07 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 53c | 27,778$14,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,916.91 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 26,314$12,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,646.2 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 17,439$8,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,326.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Over | 50c | 14,122$7,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,061 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4111…54a7backed Over | 51c | 12,664$6,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,260.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf15…76e0backed Over | 50c | 10,091$5,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,045.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f8…12f7backed Over | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.31 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 50c | 6,812$3,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,405.64 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Over | 50c | 3,564$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Over | 51c | 3,275$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.63 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…c3f2backed Over | 52c | 3,083$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 3,053$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.23 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Over | 52c | 2,823$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.08 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Over | 50c | 2,226$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e9…a60cbacked Over | 50c | 2,180$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 1,804$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.57 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Over | 52c | 1,249$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.3 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.04 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 742.76$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.52 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 693.97$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.99 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 654.8$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.41 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 630.49$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.61 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 55c | 556.09$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.24 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Under | 50c | 529.14$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.57 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 51c | 513.02$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.95 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 55c | 304$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.92 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 47c | 276$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.72 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 56c | 246.55$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.48 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Over | 55c | 185$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 50c | 133.86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Under | 46c | 126$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81f…2fd6backed Under | 46c | 126$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 49c | 108.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…1cdebacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 47c | 74.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed Over | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 57.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 52c | 43.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 51c | 42.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 48c | 41.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…cf99backed Under | 52c | 28.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 54c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Over | 52c | 24.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcd…f802backed Under | 52c | 21.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1deb…472fbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f1…8a2cbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9c…8c15backed Over | 54c | 19.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. Kings76ers won
- 76ers vs. Kings: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 225.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
- Justin Edwards: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Malik Monk: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)76ers won
- VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.