NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88568e9e3a4a110074eb7e1856f5a39cbcc9514df52cd0ad953b5ee1e102c0a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,899 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 44c | 33,991$15,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,964.54 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 56c | 20,956$11,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,672.39 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 56c | 8,195$4,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,573.64 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Under | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.26 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 55c | 919.66$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.46 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 56c | 829.02$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.72 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 56c | 800$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 55c | 700$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 56c | 583.73$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.13 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Over | 45c | 582.04$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.12 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 41c | 329.27$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.28 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 44c | 231.9$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.7 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…4eb0backed Under | 57c | 143.61$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.86 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 42c | 133.9$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 59c | 131.31$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 54c | 105.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…9153backed Over | 46c | 105.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 44c | 69.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 53c | 65.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Over | 46c | 51.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 45c | 45.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Over | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 373 | 44.2%165 W · 208 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 55c | 35.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over | 41c | 32.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 55c | 30.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 49c | 23.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…ab6bbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 55c | 18.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. Kings76ers won
- 76ers vs. Kings: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 225.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 226.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
- Justin Edwards: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Malik Monk: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-4.5)76ers won
- VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.