Tennis · resolved market
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Brandon Nakashima
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0feab8dcdd311000fda4b9fe2bf8de2c2a594a49918a1e0e5070902f7926629c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Frances Tiafoeof Frances Tiafoe, Brandon Nakashima
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $582,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $594,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $582,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Brandon Nakashima | 23c | 90,095$21,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,024.99 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Frances Tiafoe | 38c | 45,441$17,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,073.23 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Brandon Nakashima | 65c | 31,094$20,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,229.11 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Brandon Nakashima | 61c | 29,211$17,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,914.82 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b4…13c9backed Frances Tiafoe | 43c | 24,509$10,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,029.45 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brandon Nakashima | 34c | 22,157$7,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,569.48 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Frances Tiafoe | 70c | 19,912$13,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,921.46 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Frances Tiafoe | 48c | 19,644$9,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,281.24 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Frances Tiafoe | 51c | 18,826$9,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,300.33 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Brandon Nakashima | 49c | 9,620$4,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,714.07 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Frances Tiafoe | 53c | 9,499$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.18 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Brandon Nakashima | 20c | 9,172$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.82 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Frances Tiafoe | 25c | 8,546$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400.5 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…b1a9backed Frances Tiafoe | 26c | 8,297$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,146.84 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brandon Nakashima | 54c | 7,418$4,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,014.84 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Brandon Nakashima | 6c | 7,111$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.82 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Brandon Nakashima | 44c | 7,069$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Brandon Nakashima | 42c | 5,419$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.64 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Frances Tiafoe | 28c | 5,390$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,904.72 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Brandon Nakashima | 49c | 5,162$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.21 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Frances Tiafoe | 40c | 4,404$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636.11 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Frances Tiafoe | 66c | 4,202$2,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.68 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Frances Tiafoe | 52c | 4,106$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.17 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Brandon Nakashima | 50c | 4,074$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Brandon Nakashima | 50c | 3,500$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.18 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Brandon Nakashima | 32c | 3,228$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.3 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Brandon Nakashima | 2c | 2,984$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 75 | 5.3%4 W · 71 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Brandon Nakashima | 48c | 2,906$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.98 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Brandon Nakashima | 76c | 2,645$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.18 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Brandon Nakashima | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…68e3backed Brandon Nakashima | 68c | 2,283$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Brandon Nakashima | 33c | 2,223$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.46 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed Frances Tiafoe | 23c | 2,090$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.83 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Brandon Nakashima | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Brandon Nakashima | 51c | 1,965$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Brandon Nakashima | 50c | 1,965$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.18 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Frances Tiafoe | 57c | 1,962$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.12 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked Brandon Nakashima | 48c | 1,950$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked Brandon Nakashima | 60c | 1,804$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.61 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Frances Tiafoe | 49c | 1,647$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.59 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Frances Tiafoe | 35c | 1,623$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.79 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Frances Tiafoe | 73c | 1,601$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.96 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Brandon Nakashima | 4c | 1,543$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Brandon Nakashima | 49c | 1,533$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.93 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Brandon Nakashima | 73c | 1,479$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.77 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a8…2587backed Brandon Nakashima | 50c | 1,440$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc635…9052backed Frances Tiafoe | 47c | 1,404$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.51 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +12.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3b84…a239backed Brandon Nakashima | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Frances Tiafoe | 55c | 1,159$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.32 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Brandon Nakashima | 57c | 1,145$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.37 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Frances Tiafoe | 30c | 1,122$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.56 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ff…d7afbacked Frances Tiafoe | 21c | 1,098$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Frances Tiafoe | 50c | 1,058$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.71 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Frances Tiafoe | 39c | 965$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.33 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca9…d946backed Brandon Nakashima | 73c | 958.9$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Frances Tiafoe | 51c | 929.21$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.31 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Frances Tiafoe | 49c | 872.14$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.82 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Frances Tiafoe | 24c | 847.87$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.51 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Frances Tiafoe | 50c | 840$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.91 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Frances Tiafoe | 30c | 801$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.7 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Frances Tiafoe | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Frances Tiafoe | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Brandon Nakashima | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Frances Tiafoe | 39c | 774.2$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.74 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Frances Tiafoe | 32c | 748$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.69 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Frances Tiafoe | 42c | 733.5$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.86 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Frances Tiafoe | 49c | 727$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.77 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Frances Tiafoe | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Frances Tiafoe | 79c | 699.93$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.19 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Frances Tiafoe | 33c | 685.68$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.56 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Frances Tiafoe | 79c | 668.58$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.58 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Brandon Nakashima | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Brandon Nakashima | 2c | 644.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Brandon Nakashima | 62c | 642.01$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Frances Tiafoe | 37c | 637$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.67 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Frances Tiafoe | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Brandon Nakashima | 52c | 582.49$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Frances Tiafoe | 39c | 580$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.18 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Frances Tiafoe | 30c | 543.63$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.54 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Frances Tiafoe | 69c | 542.79$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.35 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Frances Tiafoe | 50c | 500$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.6 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Brandon Nakashima | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Frances Tiafoe | 53c | 496.47$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.44 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Frances Tiafoe | 54c | 482.16$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.46 | 127 | 65.4%83 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Brandon Nakashima | 42c | 474$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.11 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d8…e72abacked Brandon Nakashima | 19c | 468.71$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7b…9716backed Frances Tiafoe | 52c | 459.44$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.53 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -11.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed Frances Tiafoe | 46c | 459$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.75 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +12%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Frances Tiafoe | 48c | 455.74$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.14 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Brandon Nakashima | 48c | 447.03$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.57 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Frances Tiafoe | 46c | 429.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.19 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Brandon Nakashima | 18c | 427.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.74 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…f407backed Brandon Nakashima | 3c | 415$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 99 | 6.1%6 W · 93 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Frances Tiafoe | 29c | 403.45$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.45 | 656 | 52.1%342 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Brandon Nakashima | 75c | 400.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Frances Tiafoe | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Brandon Nakashima | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Frances Tiafoe | 51c | 393.96$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.04 | 248 | 52%129 W · 119 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Frances Tiafoe | 51c | 388.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.61 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Frances Tiafoe | 50c | 365.44$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.72 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Brandon Nakashimathis page
- Frances Tiafoe vs. Brandon Nakashima: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Tiafoe vs NakashimaNakashima won
- Set Handicap: Nakashima (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5)Tiafoe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.