TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Transylvania Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Olga Danilovic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chwalinskaof Chwalinska, Danilovic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,482
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,442

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,482 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xda3a…381fbacked Chwalinska65c5,933$3,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,073.535756.1%32 W · 25 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x85ce…d5f9backed Danilovic56c4,542$2,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,543.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Danilovic17c3,790$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.780938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dee…3d1bbacked Chwalinska78c3,258$2,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.692369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Danilovic32c3,235$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.861,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Danilovic33c2,982$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.0465157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Chwalinska43c2,647$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.881,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x297d…f721backed Danilovic58c2,215$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.3425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed Danilovic56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1203151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Chwalinska44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1202748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Danilovic29c1,798$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9728726.8%77 W · 210 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Danilovic20c1,743$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.1655646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Danilovic30c1,661$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.520844.2%92 W · 116 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Danilovic25c1,653$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.324438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e0…d457backed Danilovic32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Danilovic38c1,482$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56362061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7750…a3f3backed Danilovic20c1,456$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.311215.2%17 W · 95 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Danilovic19c1,307$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.696,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Chwalinska57c1,302$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.152,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bb8…71f0backed Chwalinska42c1,208$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc4…c01ebacked Danilovic59c1,200$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7081060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b72…751ebacked Chwalinska41c1,200$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7081040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Danilovic34c1,161$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.056740.3%27 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Danilovic34c1,064$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.8575748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Danilovic41c918.67$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.833,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Chwalinska73c685.05$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.054555.6%25 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Danilovic20c674.69$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.712,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2825…c0e3backed Chwalinska75c669.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.93728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Danilovic21c633.18$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5637230.4%113 W · 259 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80c3…ed8fbacked Chwalinska65c587.98$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Danilovic18c566.76$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.812,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed Danilovic13c533.79$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.743357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Chwalinska58c527.13$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.157,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Danilovic57c508.86$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29014568.3%99 W · 46 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d24…6564backed Danilovic22c490$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Danilovic60c479.78$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.4338739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Danilovic19c426.3$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.312,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed Danilovic21c417.06$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0726227.9%73 W · 189 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Danilovic36c414.41$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2172542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a4…9e63backed Danilovic53c362.13$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.931241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Danilovic17c353.51$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-36.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Chwalinska42c301.95$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.1311045.5%50 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Danilovic27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8166831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93f…3c12backed Chwalinska56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1324327.9%12 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+64.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Danilovic26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7812740.2%51 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79e9…80b1backed Danilovic20c300$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.533228.3%94 W · 238 L-12.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Danilovic33c298.01$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3865647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Danilovic18c272.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.394,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Danilovic14c263.87$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.981,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Danilovic60c260$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.158753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Chwalinska43c250$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.54,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Chwalinska80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab0…b46abacked Danilovic39c232.21$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5623735%83 W · 154 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x132d…628fbacked Chwalinska42c215$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e9…017abacked Danilovic58c215$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb17a…6d7bbacked Chwalinska41c214$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68e…5534backed Danilovic59c214$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f9…7359backed Chwalinska41c214$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57e5…06fdbacked Danilovic59c213$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x789d…e44abacked Danilovic58c208$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc414…6701backed Chwalinska42c208$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c61…17c6backed Danilovic59c207$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3710…29bbbacked Chwalinska41c206$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ccb…0865backed Danilovic59c206$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed26…be92backed Chwalinska41c206$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Danilovic64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12828552.3%149 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c8d…e306backed Chwalinska41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1c0…9c16backed Danilovic59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde4a…ee6dbacked Chwalinska43c199.64$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.954528.9%13 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Chwalinska46c189.13$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.413652.9%72 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Danilovic21c187.87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019129.8%57 W · 134 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d14…d039backed Danilovic60c185$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Danilovic23c182.61$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4220643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Danilovic9c177.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.881565.8%9 W · 147 L-32.4wins-0.21per pick27cpaid-64.6%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Danilovic57c176.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0bb…4c8abacked Danilovic57c175.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017158.5%100 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58fe…d40dbacked Danilovic58c173.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Chwalinska62c171$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4569249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Danilovic59c169.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010862%67 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb229…7298backed Danilovic58c168.75$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.872842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Danilovic26c149.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9521843.1%94 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Danilovic46c147.56$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5527543.3%119 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Chwalinska42c142$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3699056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Chwalinska42c140$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.221338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Chwalinska74c135.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4142558.8%250 W · 175 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x309a…f474backed Chwalinska73c125.17$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.522055%11 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Chwalinska76c125$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3016665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Chwalinska42c125$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.520043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Chwalinska68c120.72$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4249143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chwalinska74c117.59$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.088,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chwalinska77c116.19$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.347,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Danilovic22c112.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.924143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3947…6c1ebacked Chwalinska45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.112030%6 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Chwalinska41c109.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.927344.7%122 W · 151 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chwalinska68c109.54$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Danilovic18c109.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2074961.8%463 W · 286 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Danilovic37c109.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.424553.3%24 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44b0…2a3fbacked Danilovic10c106.82$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-59.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Chwalinska44c101.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.761,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Danilovic60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019452.1%101 W · 93 L-13.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.