TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Set 1 Winner: Chwalinska vs Danilovic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chwalinskaof Chwalinska, Danilovic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,054
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,140

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,054 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Chwalinska79c249.74$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.537,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Danilovic24c133.08$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5937230.4%113 W · 259 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaec7…e80ebacked Chwalinska43c120$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+88.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d42…6c98backed Chwalinska42c112$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.061060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc771…69fbbacked Danilovic59c101$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.11040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf00…9222backed Danilovic58c99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.171353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25ad…85bbbacked Danilovic58c77$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.541250%6 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69c0…6c89backed Danilovic58c75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.331030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad0f…0e3cbacked Chwalinska42c74$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.611145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6831…08b7backed Chwalinska42c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.67771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6afa…cc0dbacked Danilovic58c69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a9…c2f9backed Chwalinska42c67$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.041060%6 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x226a…6e99backed Danilovic58c65$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.721250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0528backed Danilovic57c63$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.07580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd6…abd6backed Danilovic58c62$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.65966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb59…3c6fbacked Danilovic59c61$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.951258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3a4…7941backed Danilovic58c61$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.35650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf86c…fd9fbacked Danilovic58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.81060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf4…e21bbacked Chwalinska42c59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.041250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed89…e68ebacked Chwalinska42c59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.131154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddeb…8cb9backed Chwalinska42c55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b60…6693backed Danilovic58c53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.891060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b1…baafbacked Danilovic58c53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.81683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed Danilovic26c51.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2726227.9%73 W · 189 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x353a…06c5backed Chwalinska42c51$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.697100%7 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x944b…34e8backed Chwalinska41c51$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.91172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9783…d484backed Chwalinska42c48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.71875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+36%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32c2…8977backed Danilovic58c48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.66771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2134…e45abacked Danilovic58c48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.78728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-60.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb0f6…08fbbacked Chwalinska42c46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.63785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+49.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb1e…def5backed Chwalinska43c46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.311172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fcb…5ee0backed Danilovic58c44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.59475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+53.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1faa…c1f6backed Danilovic58c44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.351573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73cd…db85backed Danilovic58c44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.54742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd33…1482backed Danilovic57c43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf728…ee20backed Danilovic57c43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5820%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e04…3fb0backed Chwalinska41c43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.331060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe16c…8bf3backed Chwalinska43c42.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.55955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x321d…7d0bbacked Chwalinska42c42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.171450%7 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb68c…16c8backed Chwalinska43c42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.11742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6809…a9fcbacked Chwalinska42c42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.48875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fed…23e5backed Danilovic58c41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.71145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47aa…ab1cbacked Danilovic58c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.13966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ab2…a34fbacked Danilovic58c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d90…5312backed Chwalinska42c38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.191457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd8…a190backed Chwalinska42c37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.47475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15a7…57c6backed Danilovic58c37$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.461060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c57…d1d7backed Chwalinska42c37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.55862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+21%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x43e6…ac47backed Chwalinska42c37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.611464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b92…3036backed Chwalinska43c37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.121090%9 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick61cpaid+54.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1da1…2224backed Chwalinska42c36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…f7f9backed Chwalinska41c36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.151145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe826…cfe1backed Chwalinska42c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.43771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b05…104bbacked Chwalinska43c34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.531553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1472…8635backed Chwalinska42c34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7613…8a5ebacked Danilovic58c33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e74…58e2backed Chwalinska42c33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.14875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x53c8…408dbacked Chwalinska41c33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+61.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a7…8d8dbacked Chwalinska42c32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca0a…4cfcbacked Danilovic58c32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.55666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc989…679ebacked Chwalinska43c32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.113100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+92.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d56backed Chwalinska43c31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4f45…7e11backed Danilovic58c31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.84650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0c3…78dfbacked Danilovic58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.411369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f91…a01fbacked Chwalinska42c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ad6…82d0backed Danilovic59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.58633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-49.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf33a…e4d5backed Danilovic57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.18560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f2…e1dcbacked Chwalinska42c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.29475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecd8…1282backed Chwalinska42c29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc366…443ebacked Danilovic58c29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3419…e404backed Danilovic58c29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.76616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.45per pick61cpaid-76.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xacf1…8594backed Chwalinska42c28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.161080%8 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f94…c756backed Danilovic58c28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.24875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1c5…5ff4backed Danilovic58c28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.131225%3 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-54.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf2aa…11fabacked Danilovic58c28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.28666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…20e3backed Danilovic58c28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.11837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-40%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3898…d225backed Chwalinska41c27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+141.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6724…0e17backed Chwalinska41c27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.95875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+39.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe91d…22b0backed Danilovic58c27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.55450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…d6c3backed Danilovic57c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.82650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe98a…23f3backed Chwalinska42c26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.971080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb21b…8e32backed Danilovic58c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.88966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa63…0454backed Danilovic58c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.92666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf90…8591backed Danilovic58c23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.34450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79f…6e74backed Danilovic59c22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf854…3d75backed Danilovic58c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.23875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e21…4275backed Danilovic59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.811060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfad1…b717backed Danilovic57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.43850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f40…cefdbacked Danilovic58c19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.021050%5 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2c2…098ebacked Danilovic60c18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.73966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.