TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Open Sud de France: Tallon Griekspoor vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Griekspoorof Griekspoor, Busta
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$299,823
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$328,708

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,823 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5877…d894backed Griekspoor59c148,900$87,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,049.0711633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Busta41c147,088$60,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,305.9911242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Busta42c10,670$4,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,479.2625428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Griekspoor60c10,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00043051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0457…4403backed Busta2c7,915$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.566829.4%20 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Griekspoor60c6,703$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,703.1248851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x158c…8a3fbacked Busta46c6,515$2,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,994333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Busta4c6,039$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.418,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Busta40c5,108$2,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,053.1521338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3317…e838backed Griekspoor58c4,200$2,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.01475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Busta44c3,918$1,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,724.122850%14 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Busta41c3,769$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.6476140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Griekspoor56c3,145$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.821,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e02…1f4abacked Griekspoor58c2,830$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.63650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Busta18c2,820$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50044754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Busta42c2,680$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.5917452.9%92 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Busta15c2,533$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3809737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Busta41c2,508$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.137736.4%28 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed Busta34c2,052$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.873729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Griekspoor58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84011941.2%49 W · 70 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dee…3d1bbacked Griekspoor59c1,968$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.82369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Busta15c1,945$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.192,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Griekspoor52c1,932$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.327,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Busta30c1,777$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.5624229.8%72 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Busta40c1,658$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.231332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Busta40c1,546$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.995228.8%15 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3856…19eabacked Griekspoor58c1,360$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.2785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick64cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Griekspoor60c1,259$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.5612949.6%64 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Busta16c1,228$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.762,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Griekspoor56c1,148$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.1215952.2%83 W · 76 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Griekspoor60c1,105$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.810557.1%60 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Busta38c1,038$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.6797046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Busta33c1,033$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.4799044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba9c…d2c1backed Griekspoor58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4203669.4%25 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Griekspoor60c1,000$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40511353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9cd…432cbacked Busta17c999.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1705457.4%31 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Busta42c999.95$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.6523126%60 W · 171 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x066d…51bebacked Griekspoor58c960.11$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.25728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-51.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a0…c18cbacked Busta4c936.14$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9512033.3%40 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70e4…c76abacked Busta42c922.99$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Busta15c876.06$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.622133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Busta4c872.82$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.91,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Busta41c856.03$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.411,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec7a…a1f2backed Griekspoor69c804.92$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.0314766.7%98 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Busta40c800$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3204748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Griekspoor57c798.75$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.388248.8%40 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Busta40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd47b…5a9ebacked Busta42c737$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ed…d25fbacked Griekspoor58c724.14$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.145853.4%31 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Griekspoor57c659.98$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.7987251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Busta44c656.47$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.7754547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a5…665ebacked Griekspoor58c623$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.47475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Busta43c602.2$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25819846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0354…2913backed Busta23c598.79$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.461154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a3…9a3bbacked Griekspoor59c511.46$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.46771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8828…c29abacked Busta40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-67.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Griekspoor56c475.59$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.2678152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Griekspoor56c470.86$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.227,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Griekspoor76c469.74$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7411157.7%64 W · 47 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Busta44c467.6$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.7424846%114 W · 134 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x68fc…ad11backed Griekspoor58c434$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5fc…a83bbacked Busta36c416.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502250%11 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Busta40c407.1$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.8416340.5%66 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Busta4c390.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524638.2%94 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbeb0…4cd4backed Busta41c368.97$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.282045%9 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ad1…2030backed Griekspoor58c339.05$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.41861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Griekspoor59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9810862%67 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Griekspoor59c338.36$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.513046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0bb…4c8abacked Griekspoor61c333.34$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.7817158.5%100 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Griekspoor61c327.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.5337444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Griekspoor63c324.41$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.52,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Griekspoor62c322.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9619134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed Griekspoor58c321.27$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.277040%28 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae96…e1a2backed Griekspoor58c303$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x458d…b7c8backed Griekspoor60c300$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1211861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb102…b9febacked Griekspoor58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1412…15d5backed Griekspoor66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022065%13 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…783bbacked Griekspoor58c299.97$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.991258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Busta40c295$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11843242.4%183 W · 249 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1362…16ccbacked Griekspoor51c294.54$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.544540%18 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f17…9ab3backed Griekspoor60c284.89$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.898666.3%57 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Griekspoor59c279.61$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.641,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d8a…e03fbacked Griekspoor58c264.84$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.232958.6%17 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Busta39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.54,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9932…f309backed Busta4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Busta40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9393…9cddbacked Busta4c247.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x322a…82eebacked Busta42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick55cpaid-68.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Busta17c235.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014613.7%20 W · 126 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Busta31c230.55$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2588446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7362…f480backed Griekspoor59c225.51$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked Griekspoor64c218.63$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3419466%128 W · 66 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc0…099dbacked Griekspoor58c215.52$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Busta42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Griekspoor71c200$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.52853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Griekspoor59c199.97$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7126247.7%125 W · 137 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Griekspoor58c183$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8618548.1%89 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa99…4680backed Griekspoor58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Busta31c171.44$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3349143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Griekspoor58c170$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.458753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.