Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Griekspoor vs Busta
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0676cd48b7812eab87abeb6864231c70bc9632034298619ab2cacb10eb9e2c1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Griekspoorof Griekspoor, Busta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Busta | 2c | 1,022$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Busta | 42c | 444.48$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.68 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Griekspoor | 58c | 261.72$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.92 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Griekspoor | 58c | 182.76$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Busta | 43c | 138$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Busta | 43c | 114$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Busta | 43c | 77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Busta | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Griekspoor | 57c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Griekspoor | 57c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Griekspoor | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Griekspoor | 57c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Griekspoor | 57c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Griekspoor | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Griekspoor | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Griekspoor | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Griekspoor | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Griekspoor | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Griekspoor | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Griekspoor | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Griekspoor vs Bustathis page
- Griekspoor vs. Busta: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Griekspoor vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Griekspoor vs. Busta: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Open Sud de France: Tallon Griekspoor vs Pablo Carreno BustaGriekspoor won
- Set Handicap: Griekspoor (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5)Griekspoor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.