Tennis · resolved market
Griekspoor vs. Busta: Total Sets O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd139fde3e49f7ce5a515a7861d351bc19d7f0f4bb32a32a9794c456e31e4b61a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Under 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over 2.5 | 49c | 615.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 2.5 | 57c | 422.32$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.6 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…9207backed Over 2.5 | 43c | 251.16$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Over 2.5 | 39c | 138$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over 2.5 | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | -13.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Under 2.5 | 68c | 80.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over 2.5 | 35c | 78.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Over 2.5 | 39c | 74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Over 2.5 | 39c | 57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Under 2.5 | 69c | 56.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe575…8b12backed Over 2.5 | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over 2.5 | 32c | 42.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Under 2.5 | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 66cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed Under 2.5 | 61c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Over 2.5 | 39c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Under 2.5 | 61c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Under 2.5 | 61c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Under 2.5 | 61c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Under 2.5 | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Under 2.5 | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Under 2.5 | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Under 2.5 | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under 2.5 | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Under 2.5 | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Griekspoor vs. Busta: Total Sets O/U 2.5this page
- Griekspoor vs. Busta: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Griekspoor vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Open Sud de France: Tallon Griekspoor vs Pablo Carreno BustaGriekspoor won
- Set 1 Winner: Griekspoor vs BustaGriekspoor won
- Set Handicap: Griekspoor (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5)Griekspoor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.