Tennis · resolved market
Hersonissos: Robin Bertrand vs Adria Soriano Barrera
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x243e2adac0c1c4b824f1fd0dd8c7de5a741228a04a008d2903d80b9a1acf0ea4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Robin Bertrandof Robin Bertrand, Adria Soriano Barrera
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Adria Soriano Barrera | 9c | 2,356$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.13 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Adria Soriano Barrera | 60c | 2,167$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Robin Bertrand | 37c | 1,215$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.26 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Adria Soriano Barrera | 28c | 1,075$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.97 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Robin Bertrand | 40c | 1,022$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Robin Bertrand | 40c | 944.5$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.26 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Adria Soriano Barrera | 45c | 663.32$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.91 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Robin Bertrand | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Robin Bertrand | 75c | 355.94$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.02 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Robin Bertrand | 40c | 205$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Robin Bertrand | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Robin Bertrand | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Adria Soriano Barrera | 62c | 179.94$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.31 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Adria Soriano Barrera | 11c | 169.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Adria Soriano Barrera | 36c | 158.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Robin Bertrand | 34c | 147.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.05 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Adria Soriano Barrera | 64c | 125.92$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.59 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Adria Soriano Barrera | 66c | 112.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Robin Bertrand | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Adria Soriano Barrera | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Robin Bertrand | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Robin Bertrand | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Robin Bertrand | 34c | 96.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Adria Soriano Barrera | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Adria Soriano Barrera | 21c | 75.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…fb49backed Robin Bertrand | 37c | 69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7b…9716backed Adria Soriano Barrera | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -11.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Adria Soriano Barrera | 65c | 61.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Robin Bertrand | 33c | 51.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…06d8backed Robin Bertrand | 78c | 44.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Robin Bertrand | 37c | 41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Robin Bertrand | 35c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…4f8ebacked Adria Soriano Barrera | 67c | 38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Adria Soriano Barrera | 36c | 36.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Adria Soriano Barrera | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Adria Soriano Barrera | 59c | 22.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Adria Soriano Barrera | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…a11ebacked Robin Bertrand | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.