MLB · resolved market
First Round Pool D: Netherlands vs. Israel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42dbbfcca45d88bec3b3dd97b7cca2aac129756b183270458bd1cab858c57895
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Israelof Netherlands, Israel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $216,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,180 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Israel | 39c | 92,068$35,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,178.81 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Netherlands | 61c | 67,500$41,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,174.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Netherlands | 47c | 35,461$16,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,622.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Israel | 38c | 33,344$12,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,560.03 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Netherlands | 62c | 25,380$15,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,676.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Netherlands | 62c | 10,600$6,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,572 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Israel | 37c | 9,412$3,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,949.06 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…8503backed Netherlands | 63c | 8,864$5,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,574.91 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Israel | 38c | 8,788$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,488.38 | 474 | 47.3%224 W · 250 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Netherlands | 62c | 5,600$3,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,445.52 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Netherlands | 62c | 5,400$3,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,348 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Netherlands | 64c | 5,152$3,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,296.28 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Israel | 36c | 4,561$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,926.14 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Israel | 39c | 4,016$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450.45 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Netherlands | 64c | 3,104$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.7 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Israel | 38c | 3,016$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.16 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Israel | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.58 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Netherlands | 61c | 2,623$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.8wins | -0.37per pick | 60cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Netherlands | 64c | 1,779$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.56 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Israel | 36c | 1,635$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.07 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Israel | 43c | 1,445$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed Israel | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Netherlands | 6c | 1,207$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Israel | 39c | 1,156$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.77 | 149 | 24.2%36 W · 113 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Netherlands | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Israel | 79c | 918.87$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.73 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Netherlands | 62c | 905.97$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Netherlands | 61c | 665.2$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Netherlands | 65c | 612.1$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.82 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Israel | 32c | 603.17$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.62 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Israel | 47c | 587.13$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.01 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Netherlands | 71c | 505.75$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.2 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Netherlands | 4c | 462.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Netherlands | 61c | 443$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.09 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Israel | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Israel | 57c | 317.83$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.91 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Netherlands | 64c | 306$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.84 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Netherlands | 65c | 300.92$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.6 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Netherlands | 11c | 298.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Israel | 23c | 248.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.01 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Israel | 37c | 228.7$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.31 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Israel | 36c | 227.95$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.89 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Israel | 37c | 227.47$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.71 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Netherlands | 61c | 209.35$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ae…6fc3backed Netherlands | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +190.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Netherlands | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Israel | 34c | 188.34$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.04 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Netherlands | 62c | 180.16$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fc…ea73backed Netherlands | 64c | 178.41$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.18 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Israel | 36c | 169.82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Israel | 37c | 168.68$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.84 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Israel | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x838d…3cbdbacked Netherlands | 61c | 164.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Netherlands | 62c | 161.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…1432backed Netherlands | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbb…7178backed Netherlands | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Israel | 61c | 155.71$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e05…ae77backed Netherlands | 37c | 154.77$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…93efbacked Netherlands | 65c | 152.13$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…19e2backed Netherlands | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 43cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Netherlands | 26c | 144.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Netherlands | 45c | 139$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Israel | 44c | 132$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.18 | 778 | 52.2%406 W · 372 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Netherlands | 63c | 130$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Israel | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Netherlands | 65c | 123.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Netherlands | 44c | 122.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Netherlands | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc98…f222backed Israel | 44c | 113.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863c…655cbacked Israel | 45c | 113$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Netherlands | 10c | 104$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Israel | 40c | 101.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.78 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Netherlands | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed Israel | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Netherlands | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Israel | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Israel | 37c | 98.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Israel | 51c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce8…240cbacked Netherlands | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Netherlands | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…5a5bbacked Netherlands | 60c | 83.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Israel | 65c | 83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Israel | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Israel | 37c | 79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcabc…46f4backed Israel | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…176bbacked Netherlands | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…23d0backed Israel | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed Netherlands | 63c | 66.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Netherlands | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Netherlands | 61c | 65.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Israel | 36c | 55.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed Israel | 36c | 55.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Netherlands | 38c | 54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Netherlands | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Israel | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Israel | 38c | 47.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 324 | 51.9%168 W · 156 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Israel | 38c | 47.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Israel | 34c | 46.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4adb…515dbacked Israel | 31c | 42.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +213.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Israel | 37c | 40.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.