TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3735…5a5b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
201
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: CS2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 59 out of 100; worst Weather at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT15136.4%55 W · 96 L-11.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 151 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 30°C on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 18°C on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C or below on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.43
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.01
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.34
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.94
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.33
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.85
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.09
Showing 25 of 151 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Nets vs. Warriorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$21.69
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.96
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$8.6
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick57cpaid+58.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs 9z (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group Bbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$11.74
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.67
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.61
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.52
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Wildcard LAN Group Abacked Ground Zero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagebacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+55.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$9.88
Rangers vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
All 4 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NJIT Highlanders vs. Vermont Catamountsbacked NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford Cardinalbacked Stanford Cardinal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuelabacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.61
First Round Pool D: Netherlands vs. Israelbacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Tyrell Fortune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$8.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shanxi Loongsbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.