TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs 9z (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
9zof Marsborne, 9z
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,647
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,113

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,647 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd705…fb7cbacked Marsborne32c5,170$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.0332536%117 W · 208 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 9z64c3,830$2,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.626,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9f…b921backed Marsborne70c3,607$2,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,509.133525.7%9 W · 26 L-7.3wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-48.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked 9z66c2,206$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.5162738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Marsborne24c1,584$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.165,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed 9z69c1,342$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.528549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked 9z79c1,078$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.833,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed 9z49c1,025$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.7443455.1%239 W · 195 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 9z68c855.35$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.657,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed 9z66c816.21$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.9162350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed 9z76c813.36$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.984,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked 9z75c750.36$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.031,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed 9z55c749.99$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.536742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a46…97eabacked Marsborne26c595$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.71330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick42cpaid+147.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a04…c352backed 9z51c591.99$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.081275%9 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+72.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Marsborne31c497.38$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9215732.5%51 W · 106 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x73dd…d555backed Marsborne48c439$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.96850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed 9z52c432.52$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.6125845.7%118 W · 140 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed 9z70c407.73$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.322850%14 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed Marsborne51c402.6$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.624429.5%72 W · 172 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked 9z29c379$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.8315935.2%56 W · 103 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked Marsborne50c362$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.6532352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdcc…e679backed 9z74c360$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce2…4b11backed 9z25c325$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.257341.1%30 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e96…262ebacked Marsborne8c319.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.82917.2%5 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed 9z27c300$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21833241.6%138 W · 194 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x276b…c0c8backed 9z17c300$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2492540%10 W · 15 L+7.9wins+0.32per pick8cpaid+215.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xd337…1becbacked 9z67c298.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf006…bf1ebacked 9z68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1210948.6%53 W · 56 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed 9z68c293.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6923557.4%135 W · 100 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x917d…9429backed 9z33c291.13$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.257537.3%28 W · 47 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…8c4dbacked Marsborne26c261.3$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Marsborne40c259.25$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10430254.3%164 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f47…ccc7backed 9z74c234$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.84425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-66.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c7…4332backed 9z67c225.72$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4917644.3%78 W · 98 L-17.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xba31…d1dfbacked Marsborne44c225$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b1…5d52backed Marsborne36c206$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.16520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked 9z68c204.43$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.431,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed 9z72c197.96$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4647053.2%250 W · 220 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd054…dcb0backed 9z50c197$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Marsborne51c186.27$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9513436.6%49 W · 85 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fef…2e1ebacked 9z49c183$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e61…10cabacked Marsborne51c174$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7470%0 W · 7 L-3.6wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed 9z25c173$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.0257935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2ec…3998backed 9z50c162$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+70.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked 9z26c161$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.4436334.2%124 W · 239 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x101c…7e34backed Marsborne26c154.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402737%10 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…48ffbacked Marsborne49c153$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.97714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8748…866dbacked Marsborne50c152$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed 9z27c150$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10936845.9%169 W · 199 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe5…0a56backed Marsborne50c142$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Marsborne39c139.3$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.151,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed 9z35c135.63$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1545224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Marsborne49c135$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.151,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba0…24d5backed Marsborne43c134.56$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.152755.6%15 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+38%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d6a…cbe2backed 9z64c131$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.16955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked 9z54c130$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.812256.6%69 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa072…9c31backed 9z52c129$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.92650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Marsborne21c125$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2561338.2%234 W · 379 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Marsborne28c119.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.844,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Marsborne47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed 9z65c103.75$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9349376.1%375 W · 118 L+96.8wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+29.9%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Marsborne42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8591648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x25f7…bafbbacked Marsborne32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Marsborne47c97.87$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4641847.1%197 W · 221 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Marsborne25c97.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Marsborne45c95.91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.581,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c8c…2359backed Marsborne45c95.56$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439351.6%48 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed 9z32c87$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3564439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4dc…0e2ebacked Marsborne17c86.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc37…8505backed 9z71c79.8$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.442050%10 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked 9z70c77.14$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1436151.8%187 W · 174 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada8…f97cbacked 9z64c75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca29…a1d0backed 9z54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0722844.3%101 W · 127 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed 9z15c68.78$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4669732%223 W · 474 L-46.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d1…4764backed Marsborne48c67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.161163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+47.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Marsborne26c66.65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.152755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4de8…5dbdbacked Marsborne48c62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+54.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed 9z29c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.66322.2%14 W · 49 L-9.4wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed 9z27c60$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.629347.8%140 W · 153 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed 9z54c59.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.82,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f5c…7256backed Marsborne50c55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked 9z66c53.76$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.281,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8aff…86b9backed Marsborne43c53.58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.193161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c61…db4bbacked Marsborne58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302065%13 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf13…ed3dbacked 9z67c50.75$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.758633.7%29 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked 9z61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.571951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked 9z63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.59863.3%62 W · 36 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a39…fa93backed Marsborne45c43.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.423259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked Marsborne41c41.51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2115352.3%80 W · 73 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5569…c927backed Marsborne49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…713dbacked Marsborne51c39.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.244228.6%12 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4669…a7b8backed 9z50c39.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.957664.5%49 W · 27 L+9.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3cce…c2b3backed 9z55c39.16$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.731250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54f0…6a27backed Marsborne45c39.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.522653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Marsborne38c37.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3251755.9%289 W · 228 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8058…4cc3backed 9z66c35.21$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0116958%98 W · 71 L-0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed 9z57c31.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7415965.4%104 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked 9z60c31.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6738636%139 W · 247 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…2625backed 9z59c23.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7312641.3%52 W · 74 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.