Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71a85610ffb98f0e94d4b20e8c0fca4f9ea8ddf6b5ae410d8366078357f5f575
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7543…0e36backed Yes | 0c | 6,229$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee2…07a2backed Yes | 1c | 5,406$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51a5…a647backed Yes | 33c | 882.19$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.81 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 34c | 790.66$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.17 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6de…9452backed Yes | 9c | 499.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 25c | 487.62$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.98 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba2…eb93backed Yes | 34c | 451.76$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.59 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 73c | 387.75$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.44 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 16c | 384.74$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 13c | 381.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…bde6backed Yes | 34c | 379.54$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.06 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 22c | 299.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed No | 72c | 269.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.19 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…465cbacked Yes | 28c | 255.84$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 24c | 240.05$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…3f5ebacked Yes | 10c | 238.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…8ffebacked Yes | 27c | 232.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 31c | 199.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fb…ae7bbacked Yes | 15c | 199.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +35%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 25c | 196.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 25c | 195.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03d5…f5bbbacked Yes | 34c | 193.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 28c | 188.03$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…7e87backed Yes | 15c | 183.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…2769backed Yes | 29c | 181.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…2265backed Yes | 22c | 179.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…b3ccbacked Yes | 22c | 173.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 29c | 171.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 79c | 159.7$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 21c | 155.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4d…57b9backed Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 31c | 148.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 11c | 130.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ede…86febacked Yes | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 30c | 124.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc25e…5d00backed Yes | 15c | 121.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…af19backed Yes | 9c | 113.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 26c | 111.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 23c | 111.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 769 | 24.3%187 W · 582 L | -16.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 16c | 109.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 14c | 107.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…9908backed No | 73c | 106.22$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…11e0backed No | 74c | 105.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b6…5c95backed Yes | 22c | 99.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 19c | 97.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 191 | 23%44 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 18c | 97.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…be31backed Yes | 27c | 96.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Yes | 32c | 95.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…92e4backed Yes | 32c | 93.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 277 | 44%122 W · 155 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 24c | 84.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…95a7backed Yes | 28c | 83.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 31c | 80.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…5a5bbacked Yes | 17c | 73.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 151 | 36.4%55 W · 96 L | -11.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a72…9d77backed Yes | 20c | 72.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 74c | 72.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 29c | 63.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f01…4c3abacked No | 73c | 61.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 161 | 59%95 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa631…7651backed Yes | 23c | 60.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked Yes | 26c | 60.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 72c | 57.89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb954…c00dbacked No | 79c | 57.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e4…e43bbacked Yes | 35c | 54.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 26c | 53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…f19ebacked Yes | 28c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 26c | 47.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebcf…086abacked Yes | 38c | 46.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Yes | 35c | 45.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 182 | 55.5%101 W · 81 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…c4bbbacked Yes | 30c | 45.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b4…847ebacked Yes | 39c | 45.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1daf…f773backed Yes | 37c | 40.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9283…e1bfbacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…1ad7backed No | 79c | 39.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 64 | 79.7%51 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2e…027cbacked No | 70c | 38.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a23…425cbacked Yes | 36c | 38.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…95f3backed Yes | 35c | 38.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…68a1backed No | 62c | 38.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 80c | 36.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380b…09d2backed No | 79c | 35.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f0…f424backed No | 73c | 34.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 75c | 33.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Yes | 47c | 33.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 402 | 42.5%171 W · 231 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x327f…2c55backed Yes | 31c | 32.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e6…aa6cbacked No | 76c | 32.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 119 | 77.3%92 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 65c | 29.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…db74backed Yes | 36c | 28.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f3…8faabacked No | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x428e…cd5fbacked No | 76c | 24.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268e…dfaebacked No | 73c | 20.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…ed07backed No | 67c | 19.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a9…2227backed No | 80c | 19.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 71 | 73.2%52 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac11…bdd1backed No | 75c | 18.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354e…c0b2backed No | 75c | 18.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7444…d815backed No | 66c | 16.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 66c | 16.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 80c | 15.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 22?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.