Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a0b2e84b50ebc300670d5f845e230a6adff9c38b376c2456709eb816966a371
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 1c | 1,711$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed No | 80c | 1,075$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.58 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 23c | 955.47$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.44 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51a5…a647backed Yes | 28c | 882.28$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.58 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 9c | 773.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 5c | 649.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed No | 78c | 631.03$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.13 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 25c | 569.55$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.58 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 22c | 545.96$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.05 | 769 | 24.3%187 W · 582 L | -16.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed No | 73c | 497.85$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.75 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 8c | 468$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 23c | 431.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…d384backed Yes | 3c | 425$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 32c | 388.16$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.94 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Yes | 6c | 348.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 16c | 254.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee2…07a2backed Yes | 24c | 250.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 8c | 248.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…bde6backed Yes | 32c | 234.02$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…8ffebacked Yes | 32c | 231.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 21c | 212.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 21c | 210.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc457…1675backed No | 69c | 208.38$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 27c | 206.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fb…ae7bbacked Yes | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +35%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…4883backed Yes | 21c | 199.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 31c | 199.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Yes | 23c | 197.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…3923backed Yes | 11c | 191.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -80%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac1f…711fbacked Yes | 10c | 187.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 27c | 182$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 16c | 179.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Yes | 19c | 167.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 183 | 27.3%50 W · 133 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb297…ddd7backed Yes | 16c | 166.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…b3ccbacked Yes | 27c | 163.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27a2…4240backed Yes | 30c | 156.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 20c | 152.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…17a9backed Yes | 23c | 139.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 165 | 30.9%51 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…0e36backed No | 74c | 134.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe009…121ebacked Yes | 33c | 130.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…1a73backed Yes | 47c | 122.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 186 | 68.8%128 W · 58 L | +27.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…5d22backed No | 73c | 121.4$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 18c | 118.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 191 | 23%44 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…4517backed Yes | 49c | 117.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 71c | 106.22$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 285 | 17.9%51 W · 234 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a7…f4d9backed Yes | 52c | 99.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked No | 74c | 98.73$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…be31backed No | 75c | 98.54$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…92e4backed Yes | 29c | 92.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 277 | 44%122 W · 155 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 75c | 92.09$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec2…65e6backed Yes | 24c | 92.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 28c | 91.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 20c | 87.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 25c | 85.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Yes | 26c | 84.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 22c | 82.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 30c | 81.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…3961backed Yes | 28c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 28c | 79.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 29c | 78.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 17c | 73.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…2769backed Yes | 28c | 73.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113d…a5e6backed Yes | 26c | 72.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…d2c8backed Yes | 34c | 68.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -61%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9d…246ebacked Yes | 27c | 68.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 28c | 68.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…fab1backed Yes | 50c | 67.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 27c | 65.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x704d…aceebacked Yes | 17c | 64.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6aa…55edbacked Yes | 25c | 63.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f0…f424backed Yes | 29c | 63.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b6…5c95backed Yes | 30c | 62.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b4…847ebacked No | 68c | 61.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 21c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d4…3a45backed Yes | 31c | 59.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbe…6a02backed Yes | 32c | 58.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 72c | 58.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Yes | 28c | 51.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…5a42backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6de…9452backed Yes | 32c | 49.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…36d1backed No | 67c | 47.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 29c | 46.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 34c | 46.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 30c | 45.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a23…425cbacked Yes | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a72…9d77backed Yes | 38c | 44.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2dd…0512backed Yes | 26c | 44.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…f19ebacked Yes | 30c | 44.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…1ad7backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 64 | 79.7%51 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…cb26backed No | 76c | 39.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33f2…4fc0backed Yes | 27c | 38.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…343ebacked Yes | 29c | 38.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 22?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.