Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe3e349ee638ae04b620d18c878185acb40ebe10f4c0f977114a2cdde6d48126
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,366$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.92 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb25…2fdebacked Yes | 70c | 1,682$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.09 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 57c | 1,335$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.73 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 11c | 1,002$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.53 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 69c | 646.79$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.39 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 17c | 621.77$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.17 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc20…5606backed Yes | 12c | 619.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.96 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked Yes | 77c | 575$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.06 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 17c | 570.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 9c | 461.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.18 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 16c | 452.82$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.71 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 13c | 441.92$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.64 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 25c | 422.29$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.28 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 11c | 392.18$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.13 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 39c | 384.92$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.91 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 28c | 346.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.71 | 769 | 24.3%187 W · 582 L | -16.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed No | 78c | 333$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.74 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…c706backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 308 | 13.6%42 W · 266 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 48c | 289.39$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.2 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 74c | 279.85$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.23 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee2…07a2backed Yes | 17c | 269.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ef…3fe0backed No | 73c | 251.51$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 77cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9471…eb8abacked Yes | 8c | 250.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.84 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…1a73backed Yes | 76c | 250.42$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 186 | 68.8%128 W · 58 L | +27.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…303cbacked No | 39c | 249.58$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 127 | 62.2%79 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 8c | 249.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.75 | 285 | 17.9%51 W · 234 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…8daabacked No | 72c | 247.95$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.28 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…8ffebacked Yes | 6c | 237.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 13c | 234.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.57 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 7c | 229.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.18 | 191 | 23%44 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…32cdbacked No | 67c | 228.68$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 226.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x947b…b05ebacked Yes | 13c | 212.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.33 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 6c | 208.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.01 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…92e4backed No | 79c | 202.73$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.89 | 277 | 44%122 W · 155 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 48c | 197.5$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.75 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Yes | 7c | 194.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.79 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 10c | 193.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.73 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Yes | 17c | 187.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.48 | 183 | 27.3%50 W · 133 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 69c | 186.52$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f2…4fc0backed Yes | 13c | 175.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.71 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…64b6backed Yes | 6c | 170.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.14 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 14c | 169.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a8…7a97backed Yes | 8c | 168.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.04 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +115%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 70c | 164.95$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 17c | 143.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.93 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe009…121ebacked Yes | 15c | 138.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 19c | 126.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.53 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 42c | 125.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 22c | 119.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…17a9backed Yes | 21c | 119.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.66 | 165 | 30.9%51 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed Yes | 16c | 116.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x354e…c0b2backed Yes | 10c | 115.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.29 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 54c | 114.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 11c | 110.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.22 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes | 11c | 108.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.25 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800c…956cbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 46c | 93.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd9…ad53backed Yes | 67c | 92.84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 60c | 89.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…9301backed Yes | 76c | 86.88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…9534backed Yes | 71c | 82.41$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb00…5461backed Yes | 15c | 77.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 76c | 75.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 37c | 72.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Yes | 27c | 71.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 66c | 70.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…4517backed No | 70c | 59.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x525c…23acbacked Yes | 80c | 58.89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…e7a0backed No | 52c | 56.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 389 | 61.7%240 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 34c | 56.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed No | 27c | 51.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed No | 32c | 51.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed No | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…95f3backed Yes | 75c | 43.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked No | 46c | 43.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…db74backed Yes | 60c | 38.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…fab1backed Yes | 55c | 36.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…aff0backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2c…6e24backed No | 64c | 30.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -10.9wins | -0.32per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 29-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2f60…4127backed Yes | 76c | 27.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 76cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…401ebacked Yes | 78c | 20.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6aa…55edbacked Yes | 75c | 20.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d7…1a16backed Yes | 77c | 20.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e4…2d3dbacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…6d0abacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…6b03backed No | 62c | 18.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 79c | 14.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.