World Politics · resolved market
Will Livable Rotterdam (LR) win the most seats in Rotterdam’s 2026 municipal election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf03e37c66ee3efe476759a4c5336ef1ff4aec10c8f3ce7f371fe3584e3b29966
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,950 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 14c | 436$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 23c | 426.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.55 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53b7…4146backed Yes | 14c | 418$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd978…2ae9backed Yes | 63c | 322$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc116…d653backed Yes | 63c | 284$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d40…16d6backed No | 37c | 271$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b5…99fbbacked No | 37c | 270$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1b…b00dbacked No | 37c | 270$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f4…fc69backed No | 37c | 270$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5539…d704backed No | 37c | 270$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x560f…3c31backed No | 37c | 269$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2010…0ec7backed No | 37c | 269$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4d…22d8backed No | 41c | 246$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaba…b29abacked No | 41c | 245$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0e…1c7bbacked No | 41c | 244$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb578…d031backed No | 41c | 244$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf5…7757backed No | 41c | 244$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…21e6backed No | 41c | 239$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa666…f0f5backed No | 41c | 236$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…7435backed No | 41c | 234$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249d…6a93backed Yes | 63c | 233$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd11…c4c1backed No | 37c | 216$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…22e9backed Yes | 58c | 209.68$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +246.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked Yes | 47c | 206.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93da…2116backed Yes | 59c | 196$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d1…856ebacked Yes | 59c | 191$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb8…a1b9backed No | 42c | 190$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b1…a67cbacked No | 42c | 190$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…f85abacked No | 42c | 190$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6d…eb3ebacked No | 42c | 190$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bd…13adbacked No | 42c | 190$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa523…c6c5backed No | 42c | 190$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…3667backed No | 42c | 189$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…1d9bbacked No | 42c | 189$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 33c | 187$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…da43backed Yes | 59c | 183$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…a72abacked Yes | 59c | 176$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0349…ffb9backed Yes | 59c | 171$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c47…636cbacked Yes | 59c | 171$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ee…e2f8backed Yes | 59c | 170$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…181ebacked Yes | 59c | 170$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf987…4d5fbacked Yes | 59c | 169$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbebd…7f96backed Yes | 59c | 169$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…efc7backed Yes | 59c | 166$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…b2adbacked Yes | 63c | 159$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…fe4abacked Yes | 63c | 159$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…5cfabacked Yes | 63c | 158$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…48aebacked Yes | 63c | 158$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…bb56backed Yes | 63c | 158$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3d…4e41backed Yes | 63c | 158$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3009…7180backed Yes | 63c | 158$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…973cbacked Yes | 63c | 158$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…e16ebacked Yes | 58c | 156$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…8af7backed Yes | 58c | 155$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…6e91backed Yes | 58c | 148$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e9…3fd4backed Yes | 58c | 146$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f9…7b2ebacked Yes | 58c | 143$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d1…d35bbacked Yes | 58c | 143$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 37c | 140.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c1…e16cbacked Yes | 58c | 138$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b35…1bfdbacked Yes | 58c | 135$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeefd…14d4backed Yes | 58c | 134$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Yes | 61c | 133.44$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc416…08a1backed Yes | 58c | 131$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 28c | 130.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 111.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed Yes | 50c | 103$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2401…0753backed Yes | 71c | 95.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…5e09backed Yes | 15c | 89.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617f…b50bbacked Yes | 58c | 89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 30c | 77.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…bb4abacked Yes | 73c | 64.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x069a…eaa9backed Yes | 60c | 54.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88bb…8d2cbacked No | 40c | 48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…2e0dbacked Yes | 43c | 40.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172f…b136backed Yes | 74c | 38.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 31c | 38.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…f1f2backed No | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked No | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab8…f77cbacked Yes | 56c | 31.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 40c | 31.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234a…cbffbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…5a5bbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…c918backed Yes | 71c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…4ffbbacked Yes | 66c | 22.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb245…161dbacked Yes | 78c | 20.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64be…c653backed Yes | 57c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee9…a6c1backed Yes | 79c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Livable Rotterdam (LR) win the most seats in Rotterdam’s 2026 municipal election?this page
- Will Democrats 66 (D66) win the most seats in Rotterdam’s 2026 municipal election?No won
- Will GroenLinks–Labour Party (GL–PvdA) win the most seats in Rotterdam’s 2026 municipal election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.