TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Eternal Fireof Favbet, Eternal Fire
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,269

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,269 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xda3a…381fbacked Favbet52c14,418$7,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,492.8518550.8%94 W · 91 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Eternal Fire41c5,122$2,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,007.442,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Eternal Fire54c3,694$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.154548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13ff…16a3backed Favbet47c2,659$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Eternal Fire48c2,522$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.197,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Eternal Fire45c2,442$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.31,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Favbet51c2,222$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.3632552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Favbet46c2,204$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.423,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed Eternal Fire47c2,178$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+45%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Favbet59c2,000$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.514954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Favbet50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.991,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab2e…2014backed Eternal Fire50c1,944$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.54341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Eternal Fire47c1,718$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.6310945%49 W · 60 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe9…c6dcbacked Eternal Fire54c1,384$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.215660.7%34 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Eternal Fire59c1,314$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.5527947.7%133 W · 146 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Favbet66c1,269$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.4129647.6%141 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79c6…4cf3backed Eternal Fire50c1,228$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.0114151.8%73 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf248…72bfbacked Eternal Fire58c1,199$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.964557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Eternal Fire44c1,191$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.8680744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Eternal Fire55c1,159$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.542,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Favbet58c1,157$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.621233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-49.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0b4…834ebacked Eternal Fire72c1,112$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.599561.1%58 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Favbet48c1,111$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.391,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Favbet37c1,110$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.6933237%123 W · 209 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Favbet54c1,077$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.166,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Favbet48c1,034$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.8410445.2%47 W · 57 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Favbet68c1,029$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.7633060.9%201 W · 129 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Eternal Fire37c897.89$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.076243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Eternal Fire32c888$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.8450043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed Eternal Fire47c880.85$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.8516947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e9…cb1bbacked Favbet43c799.99$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3446060%36 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Eternal Fire40c799.16$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.4253444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb11…8f3fbacked Eternal Fire47c768$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.041662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Favbet64c733$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.3448948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked Eternal Fire61c732.5$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.560857.2%348 W · 260 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed Favbet49c703.59$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.276259.7%37 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9589…5b36backed Eternal Fire49c650$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.54862.5%30 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Eternal Fire34c611.13$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.354,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe949…77e2backed Favbet51c591.4$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Eternal Fire48c588$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.7630335.6%108 W · 195 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Eternal Fire48c556.31$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.2826958.4%157 W · 112 L+20.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43c8…0551backed Eternal Fire31c546$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.47627.6%21 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Eternal Fire49c539.99$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.399842.9%42 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Eternal Fire38c533$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.465,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0e…ad94backed Favbet66c531.5$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.5411365.5%74 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Eternal Fire27c523.47$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.8725934%88 W · 171 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3f8…4d2abacked Favbet3c503.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0918554.1%100 W · 85 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Favbet4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20352.9%1 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-91.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b17…cb13backed Eternal Fire56c463$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.312055%11 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Favbet46c448.68$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.6938739.5%153 W · 234 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb096…fd64backed Eternal Fire48c447.36$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.56944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Favbet68c442.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022952%119 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7add…7a7bbacked Eternal Fire47c425$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.256245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Eternal Fire43c418.97$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.961,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Favbet60c418.63$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514221.4%9 W · 33 L-10.0wins-0.24per pick45cpaid-56.9%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd892…515cbacked Eternal Fire55c416$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.21838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Eternal Fire47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21278348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Favbet65c396$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.9454346.2%251 W · 292 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Favbet65c359$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.7446344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee4c…8572backed Eternal Fire33c358.61$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.68837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x757d…1496backed Eternal Fire49c356$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.5624649.6%122 W · 124 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed Eternal Fire58c350$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14715142.4%64 W · 87 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6b7…fe5cbacked Eternal Fire22c343$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.651250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+39.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Eternal Fire47c322.87$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.1244343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff0b…d06bbacked Favbet45c321$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.451338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Eternal Fire40c319.73$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.8419540%78 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Favbet54c317.07$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.221931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Favbet47c310.07$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.0984454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x094a…e4a9backed Eternal Fire49c303.29$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.593842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Eternal Fire48c299.98$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9949849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Eternal Fire56c295.4$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.1665546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8945…640bbacked Favbet52c295.14$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.7326257.6%151 W · 111 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfa4…4a42backed Favbet78c292$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.761546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Favbet54c284.1$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.0311837.3%44 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Favbet43c275.05$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.271,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Eternal Fire48c259.7$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.787244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Eternal Fire51c259.69$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1345956.9%261 W · 198 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Eternal Fire57c256.14$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.1469635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Favbet70c232$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8685446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…dd89backed Eternal Fire37c229.24$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.831450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c67…e838backed Eternal Fire44c227.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.212036.7%44 W · 76 L-12.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-34.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed Eternal Fire65c225$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.617536%27 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Favbet29c220.33$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6417236%62 W · 110 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Favbet10c212.59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1916829.2%49 W · 119 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Favbet52c211.8$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.328660.1%172 W · 114 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Eternal Fire48c210$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.81844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e06…95d1backed Favbet52c209.94$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.17757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Favbet52c207.15$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10825344.3%112 W · 141 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Favbet54c207.1$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4623858%138 W · 100 L+13.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb27…8be8backed Eternal Fire53c207$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.341054.6%224 W · 186 L+29.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Favbet42c205.84$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4524538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb11a…3379backed Eternal Fire30c202.87$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+229.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Eternal Fire50c200.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5419351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Eternal Fire43c200.48$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.292,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Eternal Fire48c200.21$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2133949%166 W · 173 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Favbet53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10632844.5%146 W · 182 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebf8…7d2bbacked Eternal Fire40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0515355.6%85 W · 68 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked Eternal Fire51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Eternal Fire50c199.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9996543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb126…9848backed Eternal Fire48c199.28$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2810251%52 W · 50 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.