CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x390f3f521921e086444d253992ed8041316bacf2536264882b175de657c0dc6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Favbetof Favbet, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,606 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf248…72bfbacked Eternal Fire | 45c | 1,105$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.04 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Favbet | 48c | 968.43$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.54 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…138abacked Favbet | 34c | 714$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.08 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Eternal Fire | 3c | 666$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Favbet | 60c | 618.38$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.82 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Favbet | 35c | 557.18$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.66 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Eternal Fire | 61c | 494.02$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b8…459fbacked Eternal Fire | 55c | 452$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f5…ba3dbacked Favbet | 45c | 435$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab6…0b8abacked Favbet | 45c | 428$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eaf…9d23backed Favbet | 45c | 406$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…6a45backed Favbet | 45c | 388$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…576ebacked Eternal Fire | 55c | 356$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…50e2backed Favbet | 45c | 351$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeacb…82c7backed Eternal Fire | 55c | 347$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3fbabacked Favbet | 45c | 329$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +76%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cc…509bbacked Eternal Fire | 55c | 309$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Favbet | 28c | 300$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.33 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eternal Fire | 61c | 297.64$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.95 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe623…93fdbacked Favbet | 45c | 264$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4893…887dbacked Eternal Fire | 55c | 230$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…3a22backed Eternal Fire | 55c | 228$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Eternal Fire | 63c | 198.93$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.81 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Favbet | 52c | 193.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04f…726dbacked Eternal Fire | 55c | 179$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7b…2748backed Eternal Fire | 55c | 167$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…03b8backed Eternal Fire | 55c | 129$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Eternal Fire | 44c | 120.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb59…baa2backed Eternal Fire | 55c | 112$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…c822backed Eternal Fire | 55c | 92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…8afebacked Eternal Fire | 62c | 63.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked Favbet | 44c | 58.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Eternal Fire | 54c | 55.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Favbet | 74c | 54.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Favbet | 63c | 44.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Favbet | 30c | 42.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 261 | 34.5%90 W · 171 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Eternal Fire | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Eternal Fire | 28c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Favbet | 45c | 35.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eternal Fire | 67c | 31.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Favbet | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 724 | 51.2%371 W · 353 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Favbet | 78c | 20.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 196 | 58.2%114 W · 82 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Eternal Fire | 74c | 17.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…79c5backed Favbet | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Eternal Fire | 70c | 14.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group StageEternal Fire won
- Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.